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This is a list of scenarios used in the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We have extracted the electricity data used in each scenario. The full data set can be downloaded from IIASA. Electricity growth is calculated by comparing total global electricity generation in the scenario in the given year to the latest actual total global electricity amount (currently using data for the year 2023).

Scenario 低碳電力 Electricity Growth
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400 99.6% ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 37.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400_lowBECCS 99.0% ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 48.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-19 98.0% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌿 12.6% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-19 97.1% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌿 17.6% Below 1.5°C with no OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_500 96.3% ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 12.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_450 95.6% ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COFFEE 1.1: CO_GPP 95.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -18.8% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: CO_Bridge 95.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -18.8% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_limbio 93.3% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊🌿 -17.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_1_75D-66 93.1% ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊 114.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_500 92.9% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR1p 92.4% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_2D-66 92.4% ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊 104.8% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR2p 91.4% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-26 91.1% ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 25.7% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_400 90.9% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 39.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_early 90.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600 90.0% ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -2.1% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 89.8% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-26 89.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 26.8% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR3p 89.1% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR1p 88.7% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr2p 88.0% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 -13.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR4p 87.5% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr3p 87.3% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -14.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_NoPolicyNoCOVID_550 87.2% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr4p 86.3% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -15.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
GENeSYS-MOD 1.0: 1 86.3% ⚛️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 3.6%
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_500 86.1% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_COV 86.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -13.4% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr2p 85.9% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -12.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr5p 85.7% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -15.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600 85.5% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-26 85.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 31.8% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 85.3% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊🌿 -6.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_450 84.7% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -7.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr3p 84.7% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -13.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_500 84.6% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 29.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_ HighRE_Budg900 84.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 38.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_Restore_550 84.3% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_550 84.3% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_200f 84.2% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_500 84.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -8.2% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 83.8% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 10.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MERGE-ETL 6.0: DAC15_50 83.7% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 49.0% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_600 83.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -8.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr4p 83.7% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -14.6% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_400f 83.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -8.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C 83.7% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 9.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_Sust 83.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_450f 83.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -8.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SmartUse_550 83.1% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 83.0% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊🌿 -10.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_500 82.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊🌿 -3.7% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_700 82.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -8.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr5p 82.7% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -15.0% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_500f 82.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -7.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_limbio 82.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿🌿 18.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-1p5C-minCDR 82.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_regul 82.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-34 82.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 26.9% Below 2°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr2p 82.3% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -10.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR2p 82.2% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_700 82.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨🌊🌊🌊 -7.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-1.5-CDR8 81.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
McKinsey 1.0: 1.5C A 81.9% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 49.7%
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600 81.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
McKinsey 1.0: 1.5C B 81.6% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 47.3%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Divergent Net Zero Policies 81.4% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 12.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_600f 81.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -6.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_550 81.1% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 18.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_200f 81.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR1p 80.9% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_early 80.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600 80.7% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP1-PkBudg900 80.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr3p 80.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -11.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_COV 80.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 9.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_Def 80.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_700f 80.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -5.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_300f 79.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: CO_2Deg2020 79.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 -4.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP2-PkBudg900 79.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600_COV 79.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 - IPD-95th 79.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 18.6% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR1p 79.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.3% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 - IPD-median 79.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 18.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_red_eff 79.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.2% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_none 79.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600_COV 79.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 16.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_def_Budg900 78.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-1.5-CDR12 78.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_600 78.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 0.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel 78.7% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 -0.2% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_400f 78.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr4p 78.3% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -12.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_ HighRE_Budg1100 78.3% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 38.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_800f 78.3% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -4.4% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 78.2% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -9.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_wind_1p5Degree 78.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 39.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_SupTech_1p5Degree 77.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 42.8% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-34 77.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 26.8% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 77.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 19.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
McKinsey 1.0: 1.5C C 77.6% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 49.8%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_solar_1p5Degree 77.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 36.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_300f 77.2% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_500f 77.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP1-1p5C-minCDR 77.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_bio_1p5Degree 77.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 35.8% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Ref_1p5Degree 77.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 35.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 77.1% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 1.2% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_nuclear_1p5Degree 77.0% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 37.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_700 77.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1000 76.8% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -3.2% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_2Deg2020 76.8% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌋 -0.8%
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_900f 76.8% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -3.2% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Bio_1p5Degree 76.7% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 35.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_EEEI_1p5Degree 76.7% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 21.6% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND_EU 2.0: NewPl_1p5 76.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_CCS_1p5Degree 76.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 35.1% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_LifeStyle_1p5Degree 76.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 30.0% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR3p 76.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_combined_1p5Degree 76.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 22.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Divergent Net Zero Policies 76.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 22.0% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700 75.8% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_CO2-Only 75.8% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 11.5% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600f 75.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_lifesty 75.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 75.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_GDPgrowth_1p5 75.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 75.3% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 11.8% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C 75.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 16.3% Below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_full 75.2% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 2.2% Below 1.5°C with no OS
GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Divergent Net Zero Policies 75.2% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 43.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800 75.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌋🌿 13.7% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1000f 75.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -2.1% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy 75.0% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 11.8% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_RE_LB 75.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 13.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700_COV 74.7% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 4.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_400f 74.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_Conv 74.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 74.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.9% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR10p 74.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr5p 74.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -10.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs 74.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 15.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_700f 74.1% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV 74.0% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-PkBudg900 73.8% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR2p 73.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_Linear_1p5 73.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SDP-PkBudg1000 73.8% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 38.1% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND_EU 2.0: Eff_1p5 73.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_ HighRE_Budg1300 73.4% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 39.7% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_400f 73.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-PkBudg900 73.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_800 73.4% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_ClimPolicy 73.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.8% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_H2Push 73.3% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.5% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400f_lowBECCS 73.2% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊🌊🌊 -6.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1200 73.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 -0.2% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR2p 73.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 19.5% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_700 72.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 10.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_D_LB 72.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 9.1% Below 1.5°C with no OS
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900 72.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 13.9% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 72.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 7.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_800f 72.5% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.1% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1200f 72.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 0.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_450f 72.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 19.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-19 72.3% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 30.2% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_CO2-Only 72.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.5% Below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_800 72.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 19.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-19 72.1% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 33.1% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_Conv-LowD 72.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.0% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_30_n8 71.9% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 123.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 71.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 16.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 71.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 22.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-1.5-CDR20 71.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 71.5% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 7.6%
REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-2.0-CDR8 71.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR4p 71.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 17.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-34 71.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 21.6% Below 2.5°C
WEM 2021: NZE 71.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.4%
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_HotellingConst_1p5 71.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_500f 71.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 19.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-Budg600-EG 71.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 11.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_300f 71.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 12.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV 71.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 13.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_ElecPush 70.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_regul 70.9% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-windH 70.8% 💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_eff 70.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_Def 70.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr2p 70.8% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 3.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel 70.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 13.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP1-1p5C-fullCDR 70.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_Sust 70.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-1p5C-fullCDR 70.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_none 70.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 5.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-PkBudg900 70.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 41.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_opt_1p5 70.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs 70.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 5.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800_COV 70.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 3.3% Likely below 2°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_none 70.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 3.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800 70.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 16.8% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-34 70.1% ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊 30.3% Below 2.5°C
REMIND_EU 2.0: NewPl_min80 70.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_900f 69.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.3% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f 69.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 14.2% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1400 69.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 2.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_eff 69.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR3p 69.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 17.3% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_900 69.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.5% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800 69.7% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 -9.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR3p 69.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 17.6% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600f 69.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 18.3% Below 1.5°C with high OS
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000 69.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 14.2% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1400f 69.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 3.2% Below 2°C
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_ElecPush-LowD 69.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.8% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 69.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_500f 69.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 16.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_1p5C 69.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_full 69.3% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_def_Budg1100 69.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_1.5C_full 69.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 18.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 69.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 22.8%
REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-Budg600 69.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 69.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 12.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.3: SSP1-DACCS-1p9-3pctHR 68.9% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 60.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_400f 68.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 13.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-spvH 68.7% 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C 68.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV 68.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 13.2% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f 68.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 14.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f 68.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 16.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400_recGenTaxation 68.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 2.8%
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400_recSocialSecurity 68.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 3.2%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV 68.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 1.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 67.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 21.1%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-19 67.9% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 19.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.2: NGFS1_Immediate 2C with CDR (Orderly, Rep) 67.8% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 49.5% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_none 67.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 20.7% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_800f 67.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 16.5% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-nucH 67.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr2p 67.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 4.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000f 67.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000 67.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-oilH 67.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 67.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 27.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 67.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Below 2°C - IPD-95th 67.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkLR15_SSP1_P50 66.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 18.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_ConvSyn 66.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 60.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_LIRE_LB 66.8% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 8.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CBA_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 66.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 66.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-2.0-CDR12 66.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND_EU 2.0: Eff_min80 66.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-RenElec 66.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 -7.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
GCAM 5.3: SSP1-noDACCS-1p9-3pctHR 66.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 59.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-34 66.5% ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊 40.1% Below 2.5°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000 66.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 16.2% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR4p 66.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 16.1% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA1_19I_LIRE_LB 66.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 8.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_800 66.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 15.9% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA1_19I_RE_LB 66.2% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 9.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-PkBudg1100 66.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 1.5C 66.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 18.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900 66.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 16.0% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1600 66.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 7.2% Below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-PkBudg1100 66.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 65.9% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700f_COV 65.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 1.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Below 2°C - IPD-median 65.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.7% Likely below 2°C
COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 65.8% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 -9.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MERGE-ETL 6.0: DAC2_66 65.8% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 66.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-coalH 65.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_15D_NoTransportPolicy 65.8% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 33.8% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 65.8% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 25.4% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-gasH 65.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1600f 65.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 7.6% Below 2°C
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 65.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 19.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700f 65.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900_COV 65.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 1.4% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000_recSocialSecurity 65.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 4.6%
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000_recGenTaxation 65.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 4.6%
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs 65.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 65.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 65.5% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 8.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_500f 65.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 16.3% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-19 65.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 12.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-elh2H 65.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 65.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 26.1% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_30_n0 65.1% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 104.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-2C-minCDR 65.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-ccsH 65.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 65.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 23.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-bioH 65.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 64.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 64.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 22.7% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-45 64.8% ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 20.5% Below 2.5°C
REMIND_EU 2.0: NewPl_Weak 64.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.1% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV 64.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.8% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 10.0% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 64.4% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 2.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_lifesty 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_700f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 3.0°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 3.0°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-19 64.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 11.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND_EU 2.0: Incumb_1p5 64.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr3p 64.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 3.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C 64.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 16.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-2.0-CDR20 64.1% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000 64.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_eff 64.1% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_2Deg2020 64.1% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: WB2C 64.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 16.0% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C 63.9% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 16.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR4p 63.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 15.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Below 2°C 63.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 1.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV 63.5% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.0% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f 63.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.7% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_15D_LowCarbonTransportPolicy 63.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 30.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV 63.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 1.0% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_300f 63.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 48.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_700 63.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 48.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_600 63.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 48.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Below 2°C 63.1% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.1% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C 63.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 35.4% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C 63.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 35.4% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C 63.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 35.4% Below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_INDC 63.1% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 35.4% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_35_n8 63.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 79.3% Below 1.5°C with no OS
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_RE 63.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 22.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB400 62.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 34.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WEM 2020: SDS 62.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 10.8%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_full 62.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_400f 62.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 48.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000f 62.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 15.4% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f 62.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 15.2% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1800 62.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 11.8% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1800f 62.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 11.8% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 62.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 18.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.3: SSP4-noDACCS-1p9-3pctHR 62.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 58.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr3p 62.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 5.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1200 62.5% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f_COV 62.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 1.0% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 62.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 12.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 62.4% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.9% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 62.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 13.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr2p 62.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 8.2% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_800 62.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 47.2% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB450 62.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 34.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_def_Budg1300 62.1% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.0% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA1_19I_D_LB 62.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 4.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C 62.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-PkBudg1100 62.0% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 45.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_500f 61.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 46.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_900 61.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 18.8% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV 61.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 9.4% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: CO_BAU 61.8% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊🌊 41.1% Below 4.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_600f 61.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 18.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_1300Gt_no-transfer_def 61.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 41.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-PkBudg1300 61.8% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1200f 61.7% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 34.5% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-TOT 61.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 -12.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_GDPgrowth_2C 61.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.9% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB600 61.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 32.4% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB550 61.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 32.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900 61.5% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 -9.0% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB500 61.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 33.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND_EU 2.0: Incumb_min80 61.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 61.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 -9.9% Below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_full 61.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 13.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f 61.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.0% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f_COV 61.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 0.5% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1400f 61.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 15.0% Below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1400 61.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 15.0% Below 2°C
IEA Energy Technology Perspectives Model 2020: B2DS 61.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 12.8%
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 61.0% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 13.6%
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-PkBudg1300 60.9% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400f 60.8% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 -8.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1800 60.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.7% Below 2.5°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1800f 60.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.7% Below 2.5°C
COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDCi 60.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 -12.5% Below 4.0°C
TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: 2DC 60.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 -5.0%
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_600f 60.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 44.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_900 60.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 44.9% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2000 60.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.7% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2000f 60.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.7% Below 2.5°C
REMIND_EU 2.0: Eff_Weak 60.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.1% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN ETH 1.1: RCP2.6 60.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 -5.0%
POLES EMF30: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 60.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 14.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr4p 60.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 4.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy 60.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 16.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_35_n0 60.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 63.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_none 60.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.8% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000 60.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 19.6% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_CO2-Only 60.3% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 13.6% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_ClimPolicy 60.3% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 13.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_NoPolicyNoCOVID_1000 60.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 14.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp 60.2% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.8% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp 60.2% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.8% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp 60.2% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.8% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp 60.2% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp 60.0% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp 60.0% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600_COV_NDCp 60.0% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp 60.0% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp 60.0% 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_none 60.0% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.3%
POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 59.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 15.1% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_Bridge 59.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌋 9.1%
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_GPP 59.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌋 9.1%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV 59.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.3% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_GPP 59.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 18.3% Below 3.0°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 59.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 15.2% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: CO_Bridge 59.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 17.9% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 59.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 -8.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-to-faster 59.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 50.2% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-Action 59.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 50.2% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 59.1% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 25.8% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_2D_NoTransportPolicy 59.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 23.8% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV 59.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 13.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1400 59.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.5% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1400f 59.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.5% Likely below 2°C
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 450ppmRCP 59.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_opt_2C 59.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.0% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs 59.0% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 38.5%
WITCH 5.0: CO_GPP 58.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 19.3% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr3p 58.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 7.4% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_700f 58.9% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 42.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_40_n8 58.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 57.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp 58.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp 58.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.0% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp 58.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.0% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp 58.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.0% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_1000 58.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 12.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 58.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_1p5C_AdvTrans_PartialDelay2020 58.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 10.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 4.2: SSP4-26 58.7% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 51.2% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF 58.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 50.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC 58.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 50.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF 58.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 50.3% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP2-NDC 58.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.2% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_1300Gt_hybrid_def 58.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 38.1% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1000 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 42.1% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600_COV 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100_COV 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 28.9% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2000 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_900 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_800 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_700 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2000f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_900f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2500 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2500f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_800f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_700f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_3000f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_3000 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_500f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_400f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_300f 58.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_500f 58.5% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 -6.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_wind_2Degree 58.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 17.0% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp 58.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 10.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp 58.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 10.6% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp 58.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 10.6% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp 58.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 10.6% Below 3.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_700f 58.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 20.8% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_none 58.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 19.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_Linear_2C 58.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.1% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr4p 58.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 6.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_Restore_1000 58.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 5.3% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 58.3% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 9.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_LIRE 58.2% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 22.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Below 2°C 58.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 27.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Net-zero_noLandUse_CDRlim 58.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-2C-fullCDR 58.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.8% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_Bridge 58.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 17.0% Below 2°C
REMIND_EU 2.0: Incumb_Weak 58.1% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.4% Likely below 2°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 58.1% ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 22.8% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_1p5C_AdvNCO2_PartialDelay2020 58.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 13.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_SupTech_2Degree 58.0% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 21.2% Below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-45 58.0% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 42.2% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200 58.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 15.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-19 58.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 5.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 57.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.0% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 57.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.0% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV 57.9% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 14.4% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 57.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.1% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_WB2C_full 57.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.1% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_full 57.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.1% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 57.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 17.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 57.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 17.7% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_INDCi 57.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 17.7% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_1300Gt_uniform-pricing_def 57.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 37.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF 57.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.3% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC 57.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF 57.8% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 57.8% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.4% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C 57.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -6.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SmartUse_1000 57.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 8.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CBA_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 57.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 26.2% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 50% abatement (FF&I) 57.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 2.2% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_solar_2Degree 57.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.2% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_600f 57.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 5.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkSR15_SSP1_P50 57.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 21.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 5.3: SSP1-highcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 56.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_500f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_600f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_700f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 3.0°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000f 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 3.0°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2100 57.5% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 57.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 -6.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-PkBudg1300 57.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 47.5% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP1-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 57.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 56.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkLR15_SSP5_P50 57.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 37.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000 57.4% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 -7.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_hi_full 57.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP1-NDC 57.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 30.9% Below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100_WP6 57.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 17.3%
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_800f 57.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 40.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_1000 57.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 3.8% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none 57.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 24.5% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-26 57.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_bio_2Degree 57.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.7% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP1-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR 57.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 55.9% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_nuclear_2Degree 57.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_CO2-Only 57.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.0% Below 2°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 50% abatement (GHG) 57.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 2.4% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Ref_2Degree 57.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.5% Below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp 57.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 16.8% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp 57.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 16.8% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp 57.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 16.8% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-45 57.0% ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 51.8% Below 2.5°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-45 57.0% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 31.4% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_AdvNCO2_1p5C 56.9% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 -1.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1600 56.9% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.0% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1600f 56.9% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.0% Below 2°C
PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_2Deg2020 56.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 21.6%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f 56.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 13.5% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_1_5D-50_CCC2020 56.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌿 53.5% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 56.8% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 14.4%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Bio_2Degree 56.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.4% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_2D_LowCarbonTransportPolicy 56.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 21.5% Likely below 2°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel 56.5% ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 21.1% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr5p 56.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 6.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_HotellingConst_2C 56.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.1% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CEA_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 56.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_EEEI_2Degree 56.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 2.8% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CEA_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 56.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 27.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_netzero 56.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_netzero 56.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_netzero 56.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.8% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_netzero 56.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 29.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200_COV 56.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.8% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs 56.4% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.8% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_combined_2Degree 56.4% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 5.5% Likely below 2°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_full 56.3% ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 21.1% Below 2.5°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 56.3% ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 21.1% Below 2.5°C
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_INDCi 56.3% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 16.2%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_CCS_2Degree 56.2% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.7% Below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-NDC 56.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.8% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 450 concentration 56.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 2.9%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200 56.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 13.3% Likely below 2°C
GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_low_os_noDAC 56.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 61.7%
GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_low_os_high-cost-DAC 56.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 61.7%
GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_low_os_low-cost-DAC 56.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 61.7%
POLES GECO2019: CO_2Deg2020 55.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 21.0% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_2Deg2030 55.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 2.9%
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_NDCplus 55.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 2.9%
COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 55.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 -11.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GCAM 5.3: SSP1-lowcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 55.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 55.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_120 55.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 25.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 55.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 19.1% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_LifeStyle_2Degree 55.8% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 11.3% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV 55.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 15.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-Action 55.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.2% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-to-faster 55.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 33.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp 55.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.0% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600_NDCp 55.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.0% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp 55.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.0% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp 55.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.0% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp 55.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.0% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-NDC 55.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.3% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP1 55.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 37.1%
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_40_n0 55.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 49.2% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 55.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.1% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-Def 55.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 -12.0% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1800f 55.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.9% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_900f 55.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 38.8% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_2Deg2020 55.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 9.5%
POLES GECO2019: CO_Bridge 55.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 26.4% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES GECO2019: CO_GPP 55.4% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 26.4% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr5p 55.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 7.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr4p 55.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 9.1% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f 55.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 16.3% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.0: High CO2 price 55.2% ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 43.5%
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1800 55.2% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.8% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV 55.2% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 -12.5% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 55.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -2.2% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_mc_50 55.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 22.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: High CO2 price 55.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.5%
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_800f 55.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 22.1% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1200 55.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 22.4% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP4-DACCS-1p9-3pctHR 55.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 52.4% Below 1.5°C with high OS
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 20% abatement (FF&I) 55.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.3% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_45_n8 55.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 48.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Net-zero 55.0% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 55.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 19.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_full 54.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 19.6% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2500 54.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 24.5% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2500f 54.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 24.5% Below 2.5°C
IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh 54.9% ⚛️💨💨💨💨🌊 19.4%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 54.8% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 8.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkSR15_SSP5_P50 54.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 39.7% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP4-highcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 54.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 51.9% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 54.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 38.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1200 54.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 37.7% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP4-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 54.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 51.8% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Net-zero_noNuc_lowVRE 54.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_Bridge 54.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.4% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_GPP 54.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.4% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2000f 54.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.9% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-Eff 54.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 -17.1% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C 54.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 37.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C 54.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 37.1% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C 54.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 37.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_INDC 54.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 37.1% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_1.5C-2100 54.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 37.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 54.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 32.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: Policy baseline 54.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 5.6% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2000 54.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.9% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-26 54.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 11.6% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_D 54.4% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: CO_2Deg2030 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 23.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 5.0: CO_NDC_2050convergence 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 23.9% Below 2.5°C
WITCH 5.0: CO_NDCplus 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 23.9% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_2Deg2020 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 16.1% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1000f 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 37.0% Likely below 2°C
GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_NDC_Price 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 43.1% Below 3.0°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.9% Likely below 2°C
GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_NDC_Intensity 54.3% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 43.1% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 54.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 2.6% Likely below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh 54.2% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 35.0%
TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_1_75D-66_CCC2020 54.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️ 40.2% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_full 54.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 3.0% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 54.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 3.1% Likely below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh 54.1% 💨💨💨💨🌊 27.1%
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 450ppmCancunP 54.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 13.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f_COV 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -1.1% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_800f 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_800 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1400 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1800 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 2.5°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1800f 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 2.5°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100 54.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.8% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_100 54.0% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 23.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C 54.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 28.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy 53.9% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 15.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 53.9% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 15.8% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 20% abatement (GHG) 53.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 1.5% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 53.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 31.3%
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_NDC_Conv 53.8% 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 31.6% Below 3.0°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f 53.8% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 -5.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: CO_2Deg2020 53.8% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 -5.7% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp 53.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -8.9% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600_COV_NDCp 53.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -8.9% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp 53.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -8.9% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp 53.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -8.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp 53.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -8.9% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-26 53.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 27.2% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f 53.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 12.2% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV 53.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 7.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV 53.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 7.5% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV 53.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 7.5% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100_COV 53.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 7.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 53.6% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 7.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_50 53.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 10.7% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2500 53.5% 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.0% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2500f 53.5% 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.0% Below 2.5°C
MUSE 1.0: PR_NDC_Price 53.5% ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌊 -23.7%
GCAM 5.3: SSP4-medcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 53.4% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 50.8% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV 53.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -11.7% Likely below 2°C
MUSE 1.0: PR_NDC_Intensity 53.3% ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌊 -24.1%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_80 53.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 21.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-26 53.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -6.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr5p 53.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.7% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_full 52.9% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 6.9% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_none 52.9% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 7.9% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f 52.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 17.2% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000 52.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.9% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f 52.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.9% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-AGInt 52.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 -12.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-LoNCO2 52.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 -12.4% Below 1.5°C with no OS
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh 52.8% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 10.1%
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-LiStCh 52.7% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 -13.9% Below 1.5°C with no OS
IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-Pop 52.7% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 -13.0% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-26 52.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 23.0% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-45 52.6% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 34.5% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_none 52.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 7.0% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_goodpractice 52.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_goodpractice 52.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_goodpractice 52.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.0% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_goodpractice 52.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C 52.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 18.1% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_900f 52.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 23.3% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C 52.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 8.2% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 52.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 4.7% Likely below 2°C
GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_NDC_PriceOnly 52.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 39.8% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2100_COV 52.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.1% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_full 52.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 33.4% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 52.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 7.2% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-19 52.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 -20.5% Below 1.5°C with no OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-26 52.4% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 38.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_3000f 52.4% 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.0% Below 3.0°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Below 3.0°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2100 52.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 16.6% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_3000 52.3% 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 35.9% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP4 52.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 41.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-60 52.2% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 58.5% Below 4.0°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2100_COV 52.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 7.2% Below 3.0°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_700f 52.1% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 -5.3% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_50_n8 52.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 42.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1200f 52.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP1-NPi 52.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.7% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400_COV 52.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -1.3% Below 2°C
GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2100 52.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.4% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_45_n0 52.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 42.3% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV 51.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 15.4% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV 51.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 15.4% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV 51.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 15.4% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh 51.8% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 2.6%
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1400 51.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.7% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f 51.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 12.3% Below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NDC_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 51.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 30.0% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400 51.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 12.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 51.8% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 6.2% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_3000f 51.7% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 30.9% Below 3.0°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_3000 51.7% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 30.9% Below 3.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh 51.6% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 4.9%
GCAM-PR 5.3: PCSH 51.6% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 46.4%
GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP2 51.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 41.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f_COV 51.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -1.4% Below 2°C
MUSE 1.0: PR_NDC_PriceOnly 51.5% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌋 -23.9%
GCAM 5.3: SSP4-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR 51.5% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 49.2% Below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NDC_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 51.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.9% Below 2.5°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_none 51.3% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 21.8% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) 51.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 27.1% Below 2.5°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 51.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 10.8% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_full 51.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 21.6% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_800 51.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 12.1% Likely below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: CO_CurPol 51.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.4% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_lc_50 51.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 22.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 51.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 6.3% Below 2°C
GMM-17: Symphony_1.5C 51.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 10.3%
GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_CP_Price 51.1% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 43.2% Below 3.0°C
GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_CP_Intensity 51.1% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 43.2% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SDP-NPi 51.1% 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 36.0% Below 2°C
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 51.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 25.3% Below 1.5°C with high OS
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 51.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 8.6% Likely below 2°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_limbio 51.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -7.5%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_mc_50 51.0% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 23.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C 51.0% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 12.8% Likely below 2°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_CO2-Only 51.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 8.4% Below 2.5°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_ClimPolicy 51.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 8.4% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200 51.0% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 -4.6% Below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh 50.9% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 -3.3%
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1400f 50.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.2% Likely below 2°C
MUSE 1.0: PR_CP_Intensity 50.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -25.4%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_lc_50 50.7% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 22.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GCAM 4.2: SSP5-19 50.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 73.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 4.2: SSP2-19 50.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 45.4% Below 1.5°C with high OS
TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_2D-66_CCC2020 50.6% ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️ 33.6% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP2-NPi 50.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.9% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2100 50.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.1% Below 3.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel 50.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 9.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MUSE 1.0: PR_CP_Price 50.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -25.1%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-26 50.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 21.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_mc_50 50.5% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 23.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_full 50.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 9.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 50.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 34.6%
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000f 50.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 24.2% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP5 50.4% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 69.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
IMAGE 3.0: CO_Bridge 50.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 18.6% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: CO_GPP 50.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 18.6% Below 2°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2100 50.4% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 32.5% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.0: 50% abatement (GHG) 50.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 38.7%
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_ClimPolicy 50.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 -5.2% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_CO2-Only 50.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 -5.2% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 50.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 -4.9% Likely below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow 50.2% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 -12.8%
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-NPi 50.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.3% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_LI 50.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 12.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_1p5C_Delay2020 50.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -4.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 50.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 10.2% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 50.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 10.8% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_55_n8 49.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 38.7% Below 1.5°C with low OS
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C_WP6 49.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 21.6%
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f 49.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -4.6% Likely below 2°C
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi 49.7% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 16.1%
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC 49.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 17.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF 49.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 17.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster 49.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 17.4% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp 49.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.9% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp 49.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.9% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp 49.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_Bridge 49.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.6%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 49.6% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 5.3% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_Reference 49.5% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 45.7% Below 4.0°C
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C 49.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.8% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1600f 49.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.2% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1600 49.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.2% Below 2°C
PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_GPP 49.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.7%
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_50_n0 49.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 37.9% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_800f 49.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.4% Likely below 2°C
GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_CP_PriceOnly 49.4% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 39.4% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 4.0: 50% abatement (FF&I) 49.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 37.5%
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 49.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 21.6% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 49.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 21.6% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_RE 49.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 16.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_full 49.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 11.7% Below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600 49.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 18.3% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-26 49.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -12.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_D 49.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f_COV 49.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -1.6% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 49.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 10.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-26 49.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 14.2% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600 49.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 11.9% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1000f 49.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.4% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 48.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 24.6%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh 48.9% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 -8.4%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f 48.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 11.7% Below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh 48.8% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 -7.3%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600_COV 48.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -1.5% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_Bridge 48.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 3.5% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_GPP 48.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 3.5%
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkLR15_SSP1_P50 48.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 24.2% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_INDCi 48.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 20.5% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR10p 48.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 10.6% Likely below 2°C
GMM-17: Unfinished_Symphony 48.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 22.7%
PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_2Deg2030 48.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 21.6%
PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_NDCplus 48.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 21.6%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-34 48.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 16.8% Below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f 48.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 18.2% Below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-NPi 48.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 34.5% Below 4.0°C
TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: CAP 48.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 -2.6%
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkSR15_SSP1_P50 48.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 24.3% Below 2.5°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 48.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -8.9%
TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: CAP 48.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 -2.2%
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1200f 48.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.2% Below 2°C
TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: NDC 48.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 -2.6%
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP1-Npi 48.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 24.5%
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_60_n8 48.2% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 35.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
WITCH 5.0: CO_BAU 48.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.5% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1800 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.1% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1800f 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 32.1% Below 2°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 48.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -0.2%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 48.1% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 5.4% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1000 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.9% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDCi 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.9% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_400 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV 48.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.2% Likely below 2°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel 48.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -0.0%
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 48.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.9% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 1.5% Below 2.5°C
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C 47.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 34.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C 47.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 34.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C 47.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 34.0% Likely below 2°C
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_INDC 47.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 34.0% Below 2.5°C
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_1.5C-2100 47.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 34.0% Below 1.5°C with low OS
BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_full 47.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -8.0%
GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP3 47.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 31.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
TIAM-ECN MDG 1.1: NDC 47.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 2.2%
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C_WP6 47.8% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 23.0%
BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 47.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -7.9%
POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_none 47.7% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 24.6% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster 47.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 21.4% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN MDG 1.1: NDC+ 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 2.3%
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-Action 47.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 21.4% Below 2.5°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_full 47.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 0.6%
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_900 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_300f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_400f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_500f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_700f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1200 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1400 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_800f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1600f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1600 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_900f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1800 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1800f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2000 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2000f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2500f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2500 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_3000f 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 3.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_3000 47.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 3.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-60 47.7% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 36.9% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_hi_full 47.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.9% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_55_n0 47.6% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 34.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_hi_none 47.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 10.1% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_LIRE 47.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 12.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_Npi 47.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.6% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_15 47.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_full 47.5% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 24.4% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 550 concentration 47.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 2.9% Below 2.5°C
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 2C 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 11.3% Below 2°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF 47.4% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 26.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC 47.4% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 26.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF 47.4% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 26.8% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF 47.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 22.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1400 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1600f 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1600 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1800f 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1800 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2000f 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2000 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_3000 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 3.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_3000f 47.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 3.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC 47.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 22.4% Below 1.5°C with low OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF 47.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 22.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 47.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.7% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-Action 47.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.2% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1200f 47.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 16.1% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1000 47.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 18.9% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF 47.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.5% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Current Policies - IPD-95th 47.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_full 47.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 5.0% Likely below 2°C
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_INDCi 47.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR10p 47.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 10.4% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-to-faster 47.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 25.3% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-Action 47.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 25.3% Below 2.5°C
MUSE 1.0: PR_CP_PriceOnly 47.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌋 -25.5%
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1400f 47.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.6% Below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none 47.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 4.7% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP1-19 47.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 22.2% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_INDCi_recSocialSecurity 47.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.6%
GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_INDCi_recGenTaxation 47.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 13.6%
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f 47.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -4.1% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1200 47.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 18.1% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Current Policies - IPD-median 47.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.6% Below 3.0°C
WITCH 5.0: EN_NoPolicy 47.0% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 35.0% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh 47.0% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 -17.0%
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 47.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.6% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 47.0% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 5.5% Below 2°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_CH4-Only 47.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 40.6% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_65_n8 47.0% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 33.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_NPi_Conv 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 30.5% Below 4.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 20.9% Below 3.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 27.9% Below 3.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 27.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 27.9% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 27.9% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_2Deg2030 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_NDC_2050convergence 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.8% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_NDCplus 46.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.8% Below 3.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-34 46.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.0% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_500 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_400f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_500f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
COFFEE 1.1: CO_2Deg2030 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: CO_NDCplus 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 3.0°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2100 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 0.2% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_NPI 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.8% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-Npi 46.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 30.0% Below 4.0°C
TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: TAX 46.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 -2.8%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_lc_15 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.4% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_2Deg2030 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_NDC 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_NDC 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_NDC 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.7% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_NDCplus 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.7% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_NDC 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_full 46.7% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 23.4%
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.2% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.2% Likely below 2°C
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 46.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 27.8% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: TAX 46.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 -2.8%
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-34 46.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 6.0% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_CurPol 46.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 10.2%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh 46.5% ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 -16.7%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_lc_15 46.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 17.4% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Delayed Transition 46.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.9% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Current Policies 46.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 25.9% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-34 46.4% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 34.0% Below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-NDC 46.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 50.9% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP4-34 46.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 40.1% Below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_full 46.3% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 5.7% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800 46.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 11.1% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800f_COV 46.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -2.2% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800f 46.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 11.2% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_60_n0 46.3% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.2% Likely below 2°C
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 46.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 46.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.5% Likely below 2°C
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_400 46.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.5% Below 1.5°C with low OS
IMAGE 3.0: CO_2Deg2020 46.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 3.5% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_none 46.2% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 21.3%
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000 46.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 19.4% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_lo_full 46.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 34.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_Reference 46.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 35.9% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C_WP6 46.1% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 17.0%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none 46.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 34.4% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800_COV 46.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -2.3% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f 46.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 19.4% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 45.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.7% Likely below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C_WP6 45.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 13.0%
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_70_n8 45.9% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 31.6% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV 45.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -9.7% Below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C_WP6 45.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 14.6%
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_INDC_WP6 45.9% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 21.4%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 15.5% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000_COV 45.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -2.3% Below 2.5°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 45.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿🌿 21.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f_COV 45.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -2.2% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C 45.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 18.2% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_RE 45.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 20.5% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C 45.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 18.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C 45.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 18.6% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C 45.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 19.3% Below 1.5°C with low OS
POLES GECO2019: CO_2Deg2030 45.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 28.9% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100 45.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.1% Below 3.0°C
POLES GECO2019: CO_NDC_2050convergence 45.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 3.0°C
POLES GECO2019: CO_NDCplus 45.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 29.2% Below 3.0°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f 45.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.7% Below 2°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 45.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 7.8% Below 1.5°C with low OS
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_2C_AdvNCO2_PartialDelay2020 45.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 8.9% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400 45.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.6% Below 2°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_full 45.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -11.9%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-34 45.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 42.5% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1400f 45.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 18.7% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_INDC 45.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 20.6% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_RE 45.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 14.5% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_65_n0 45.2% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 30.2% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-34 45.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 42.0% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-45 45.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 27.9% Below 2.5°C
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 450ppmeINDC 45.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 24.5% Likely below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_Reference_WP6 45.2% ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 18.5%
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_75_n8 45.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 30.0% Likely below 2°C
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: INDCSamePrice 45.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 24.4% Below 4.0°C
GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_NDC_Intensity 45.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 31.5%
GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_NDC_Price 45.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 31.5%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 45.1% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 29.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 45.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 41.7% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 45.1% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 21.1%
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1400 45.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 19.9% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100_COV 44.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 22.0% Below 3.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-60 44.9% ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 45.1% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) 44.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 30.7% Below 2.5°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_none 44.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿🌿 21.6% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Current_Policies 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 33.9% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV 44.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -0.6% Below 3.0°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 44.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -12.1%
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 44.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿🌿 21.6% Below 3.0°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 44.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 -11.0%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_LI 44.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 9.6% Below 1.5°C with low OS
GCAM-PR 5.3: CSH 44.7% ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 39.9%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C 44.7% ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 13.8% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f 44.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 -3.0% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_80_n8 44.5% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 28.6% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_70_n0 44.4% ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 28.5% Likely below 2°C
COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 44.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 -9.9% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-34 44.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 13.8% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100 44.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.1% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-26 44.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.4% Likely below 2°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2500 44.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 27.0% Below 2.5°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2500f 44.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 27.0% Below 2.5°C
GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_baseline 44.3% ⚛️☀️☀️🌊 39.8% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.0: 20% abatement (FF&I) 44.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 33.2%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f 44.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 10.9% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_INDC 44.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 18.3% Below 3.0°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 44.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 -11.9%
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_2C_AdvTrans_PartialDelay2020 44.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 9.9% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_lo_none 44.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.6% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_lo_full 44.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_mc_15 44.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 17.1% Below 2°C
TIAM-Grantham 1.0: Baseline 43.9% ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 7.9%
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_85_n8 43.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 27.4% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_RE 43.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.2% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_75_n0 43.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 27.1% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000 43.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 10.9% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_LIRE 43.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 12.7% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f 43.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 20.3% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500 43.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 20.3% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_mc_15 43.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 17.0% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f_COV 43.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -2.0% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_90_n8 43.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 26.5% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-34 43.3% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 15.1% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_mc_15 43.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 17.0% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-45 43.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 22.6% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500_COV 43.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -2.2% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-Base 43.2% 💨☀️🌊🌊 29.1% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_80_n0 43.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 26.1% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NoPolicy 43.2% 💨☀️🌊🌊 31.6% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_RE 43.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 14.7% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP2-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 43.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 43.8% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.0: 20% abatement (GHG) 43.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 33.0%
GCAM 5.3: SSP2-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR 43.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 43.7% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_D 43.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 16.7% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2100_COV 43.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -7.6% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_95_n8 43.0% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 25.7% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi 42.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 35.9% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_Base 42.9% 💨☀️🌊🌊 35.3% Below 4.0°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f 42.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -1.5% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800 42.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -1.5% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f 42.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -2.2% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000f_COV 42.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -2.0% Below 3.0°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600 42.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -2.2% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000_COV 42.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -2.1% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_85_n0 42.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 25.3% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-34 42.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 13.0% Below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-19 42.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 17.1% Below 1.5°C with low OS
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000 42.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -1.4% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_99_n8 42.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 25.1% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-34 42.6% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 4.6% Below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f 42.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -1.3% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF 42.6% ⚛️💨💨🌊 28.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF 42.6% ⚛️💨💨🌊 28.8% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_RE 42.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 14.6% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800f 42.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -1.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC 42.4% ⚛️💨💨🌊 28.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_900f 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_800f 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600f 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800f 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2100 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.3% Below 2.5°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-Baseline 42.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 27.5% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_90_n0 42.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 24.6% Below 2°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000f 42.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 20.6% Below 3.0°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000 42.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 20.6% Below 3.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-60 42.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 23.6% Below 3.0°C
COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi 42.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -10.1% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_NoPolicy_WP6 42.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊 13.5%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster 42.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊 29.0% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GCAM 4.2: SSP4-45 42.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 36.9% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-Action 42.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊 29.0% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_hi_full 42.1% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 12.2% Likely below 2°C
GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_CP_Price 42.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 34.1%
GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_CP_Intensity 42.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 34.1%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_CurPol 42.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 17.2% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-45 42.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 37.1% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_hi_none 42.0% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 12.2% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_95_n0 41.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 24.0% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-34 41.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 28.8% Below 2.5°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 41.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿 21.5% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkLR15_SSP1_P50 41.8% 💨☀️🌊🌊 23.8% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000 41.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.5% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none 41.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 5.8% Below 2.5°C
PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_CurPol 41.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.8%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-45 41.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 47.0% Below 2.5°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 41.7% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿 21.5% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2100 41.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.7% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_full 41.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 5.8% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_NPi 41.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 37.9% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_CurPol 41.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 37.9% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200 41.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.5% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_99_n0 41.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 23.5% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 41.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 18.0%
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400 41.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.5% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP5-DACCS-1p9-3pctHR 41.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 68.3% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_full 41.5% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿 21.5% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f 41.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -1.2% Below 2.5°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500 41.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -1.2% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP5-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR 41.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 68.2% Below 2°C
GCAM 5.3: SSP5-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR 41.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 68.2% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_800f 41.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000f 41.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400f 41.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.7% Below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200f 41.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.7% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000f 41.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.7% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000 41.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.7% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkSR15_SSP1_P50 41.4% 💨☀️🌊🌊 23.7% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_Reference 41.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 21.9% Below 4.0°C
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 2.5C 41.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 9.9% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f 41.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 11.0% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_2Deg2030 41.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.5%
AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_NDCplus 41.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.5%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_LIRE 41.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 16.5% Below 2.5°C
MUSE 1.0: PR_Baseline 41.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 -27.1%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_LI 41.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.6% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 41.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 18.3%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500 41.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 11.0% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_Reference 41.0% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 17.4% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-Base 41.0% 💨☀️🌊🌊 33.3% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: CO_2Deg2030 41.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.4% Likely below 2°C
COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2100 41.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 0.2% Below 3.0°C
COFFEE 1.1: CO_CurPol 41.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 0.2% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_LIRE 41.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 14.6% Below 3.0°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2100_COV 41.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 20.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_INDCi 41.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 21.6% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: CO_NDCplus 41.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.4% Below 3.0°C
GMM-17: Hard_Rock 40.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 11.0%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_D 40.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 19.7% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2100 40.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 21.1% Below 4.0°C
GMM-17: Modern_Jazz 40.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 23.2%
GCAM 5.2: NGFS1_Current policies (Hot house world, Rep) 40.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 32.0% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.0: 450 concentration 40.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 30.5%
POLES GECO2019: CO_Bridge_notax 40.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 41.1% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF 40.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 18.4%
POLES GECO2019: CO_GPP_notax 40.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 41.1% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_LI 40.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 18.9% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF33: EMF33_Baseline 40.7% ⚛️💨💨🌊 30.0% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 40.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 13.6%
GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Delayed Transition 40.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.1% Below 1.5°C with high OS
GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Current Policies 40.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.1% Below 3.0°C
GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_CP_PriceOnly 40.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 31.9%
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 40.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 17.5%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_LI 40.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.8% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C 40.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 16.8% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C 40.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 16.8% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C 40.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 16.8% Below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_INDC 40.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 16.8% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR10p 40.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 10.0% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_D 40.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 12.0% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_LI 40.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.7% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_3000f 40.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 27.0% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_3000 40.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 27.0% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-34 40.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 13.2% Below 2.5°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-Baseline 40.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 40.5% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-45 40.1% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 6.9% Below 2.5°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_none 39.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 7.9% Likely below 2°C
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_BAU 39.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 7.9%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-60 39.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 7.3% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP1-26 39.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.5%
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy 39.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 16.9%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-34 39.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 8.4% Below 2.5°C
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_Reference 39.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 40.3% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-NPi 39.6% 💨☀️🌊🌊 50.9% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 39.6% 💨☀️🌊🌊 28.7% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000f 39.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 11.7% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_LIRE 39.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 26.5% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 39.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 29.1% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000 39.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 11.8% Below 3.0°C
IMACLIM-NLU 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none 39.5% ⚛️💨💨🌊 -2.8%
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_full 39.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 17.4%
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_lo_full 39.5% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 15.6% Below 2.5°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-45 39.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 29.7% Below 2.5°C
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi 39.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 31.9% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_LIRE 39.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 19.4% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_D 39.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 12.1% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_lo_none 39.4% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 15.7% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_LI 39.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 20.4% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkLR15_SSP5_P50 39.3% 💨☀️🌊🌊 45.7% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.0: Policy baseline 39.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 30.3%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_BAU 39.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 16.3% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_CO2-Only 39.2% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 16.7%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_D 39.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 12.0% Below 3.0°C
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C 39.1% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 22.5%
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-45 39.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 16.4% Below 2.5°C
En-ROADS-96: Ratchet-1.5-limCDR 39.1% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 26.2% Below 1.5°C with no OS
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2100 39.0% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 29.9% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-26 39.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 16.8% Likely below 2°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkSR15_SSP5_P50 39.0% 💨☀️🌊🌊 45.9% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 39.0% 💨☀️🌊🌊 28.6% Below 4.0°C
POLES GECO2019: CO_CurPol 38.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 33.7% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-45 38.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 21.2% Below 2.5°C
EPPA 6: 1.5CNow_OptTax 38.8% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 -16.9% Likely below 2°C
IMAGE 3.0: CO_CurPol 38.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 28.3% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi 38.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 36.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-45 38.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 39.3% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 4.0: 550 concentration 38.7% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 29.9%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-45 38.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 13.7% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: Low CO2 price 38.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 5.2% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_SLCF 38.6% 💨☀️🌊🌊 37.8% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Delayed Transition 38.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -0.2% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Current Policies 38.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -0.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2100_COV 38.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -0.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 38.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 29.7% Below 1.5°C with high OS
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 38.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 29.7% Below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDCi 38.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 29.7% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP1-baseline 38.5% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 25.3% Below 3.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_CurPol 38.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 8.3% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-45 38.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 8.6% Below 2.5°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_SLCF 38.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 14.5% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM-NLU 1.0: EMF33_Baseline 38.3% ⚛️💨💨🌊 2.9%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_CH4-Only 38.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 14.1% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-60 38.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 37.9% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-Baseline 38.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.0% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-60 38.1% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 22.4% Below 3.0°C
POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_NoPolicy 38.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 41.1% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi 38.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.4% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-45 38.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 22.8% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF 37.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.0% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.0: Low CO2 price 37.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 30.0%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP4-baseline 37.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 22.2% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP4-60 37.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 36.3% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2100 37.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.3% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 37.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.0% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Baseline 37.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.0% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red 37.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.0% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: CO_BAU 37.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 29.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0: EN_NoPolicy 37.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 29.2% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-H13 2.1: START_BAU 37.6% 💨☀️🌊🌊 32.8% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF 37.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.3% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-EG 37.6% 💨☀️🌊🌊 23.0% Below 4.0°C
PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_BAU 37.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 24.4%
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs 37.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.0% Likely below 2°C
IMACLIM-NLU 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none 37.2% ⚛️💨💨🌊 -5.9%
TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_BASE 37.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 20.5% Below 4.0°C
POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy 37.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 34.9% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_min_GDP 37.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -9.0% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_NoPolicy 37.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 38.6% Below 4.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 37.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌿 33.2% Below 4.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_SLCF 37.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌿 33.3% Below 3.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA0_26I_D 37.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 9.2% Likely below 2°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 37.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.6% Below 4.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_Baseline 37.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.6% Below 4.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red 37.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.6% Below 4.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF 37.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.6% Below 4.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF 37.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.6% Below 3.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 37.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.6% Below 4.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 36.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.7% Below 3.0°C
POLES EMF30: EMF30_CH4-Only 36.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 31.7% Below 3.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy 36.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 38.9% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-60 36.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 56.8% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi 36.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 27.4% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP1-34 36.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 24.4%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_NoPolicy 36.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.3% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_BAU 36.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.3% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-Base 36.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 35.1% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Baseline 36.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 44.1% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_NoPolicy 36.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 52.3% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-34 36.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 35.1% Below 2.5°C
REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-Ref 36.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 38.6% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_REF_Def 36.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 38.6% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy 36.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 37.8% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP4-Baseline 36.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 37.5% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_CH4-Only 36.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 55.2% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_SLCF 36.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 55.2% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 36.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 55.1% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-45 36.4% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 22.7% Below 2.5°C
En-ROADS-96: Ratchet-1.5-allCDR 36.4% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 25.7% Below 1.5°C with no OS
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 36.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 38.9% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP2-26 36.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 39.8% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP2-34 36.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 39.8% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP2-45 36.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 39.8% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP2-60 36.3% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 39.8% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-60 36.3% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 14.5% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 54.9% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 54.9% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 54.9% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 54.9% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 54.9% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Baseline 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 54.9% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 55.0% Below 4.0°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr3p 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 41.0% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_CH4-Only 36.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 25.0% Below 4.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2100_COV 36.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 30.1% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-Baseline 36.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 27.2% Below 4.0°C
POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2100 36.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 37.6% Below 4.0°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr2p 36.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 47.5% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 36.1% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 25.4% Below 4.0°C
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr4p 36.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 37.5% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-60 36.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 23.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_Reference 36.0% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 14.9% Below 3.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_SLCF 35.9% ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 26.1% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.0: 650 concentration 35.9% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 30.9%
REMIND 1.6: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 35.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.8% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_hi_none 35.8% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 16.9%
WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr5p 35.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 35.0% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP1-45 35.8% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 25.8%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP2-baseline 35.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 21.5% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush 35.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 4.0% Below 4.0°C
POLES GECO2019: CO_BAU 35.7% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 36.8% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 35.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 14.9% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_min_GDP 35.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -3.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_Restore 35.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 3.9% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_hi_full 35.6% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 17.5%
AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2100 35.6% ⚛️☀️🌊🌊 29.1% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C 35.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 24.0%
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C 35.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 24.0%
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C 35.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 24.0%
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_1.5C-2100 35.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 24.0%
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-60 35.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.7% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 35.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 17.8%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NoPolicy 35.4% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 12.4% Below 4.0°C
GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_Baseline 35.3% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 36.1%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 35.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.4% Below 4.0°C
E3ME 6.1: PR_NDC_Price 35.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 9.9%
E3ME 6.1: PR_NDC_Intensity 35.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 9.9%
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_2C_Delay2020 35.2% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 -6.6% Likely below 2°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_No-policy_baseline 35.2% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 39.3% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Baseline 35.1% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 27.7% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-Baseline 35.1% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 30.6% Below 3.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_limbio 35.1% ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 15.6% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF 34.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.1% Below 4.0°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 650 concentration 34.9% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 7.8% Below 3.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF 34.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.1% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 34.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.1% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 34.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red 34.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Baseline 34.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-Baseline 34.9% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 15.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-Baseline 34.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 27.3% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_NoPolicy 34.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 27.1% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-Baseline 34.8% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.4% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_CH4-Only 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Baseline 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 34.7% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 34.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.6% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_SLCF 34.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 26.6% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-Baseline 34.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 45.1% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.2: SSP3-baseline 34.6% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 22.0% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_NoPolicyNoCOVID 34.6% ⚛️💨☀️🌊 13.3% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_full 34.5% ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 15.4% Likely below 2°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel 34.5% ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 15.3% Likely below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C 34.5% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 19.9%
IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy 34.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 27.2% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SmartUse 34.5% ⚛️💨🌊🌊 7.9% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP5-26 34.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 60.7%
GCAM 4.2: SSP5-34 34.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 60.7%
GCAM 4.2: SSP5-45 34.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 60.7%
GCAM 4.2: SSP5-60 34.4% ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 60.7%
MERGE-ETL 6.0: BAU 34.4% ⚛️💨🌊 87.4% Below 4.0°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_full 34.4% ⚛️⚛️🌊 -5.0%
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF 34.4% ⚛️⚛️🌊 17.8% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi 34.3% ⚛️💨🌊 31.7% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP1-Baseline 34.3% ⚛️💨🌊 27.8%
AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_BAU 34.3% ⚛️🌊🌊 11.3%
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_combined_Baseline 34.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 5.4% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC 34.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊 18.3% Likely below 2°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster 34.1% ⚛️⚛️🌊 18.4% Likely below 2°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_max_GDP 34.1% ⚛️💨🌊 12.3% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-34 34.1% ⚛️💨🌊 26.3% Below 2.5°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_none 34.0% ⚛️⚛️🌊 -3.8%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance 34.0% ⚛️💨🌊 10.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-60 34.0% ⚛️🌊🌊 23.6% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: SSP2-Baseline 33.9% ⚛️💨🌊 40.3%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-Baseline 33.7% ⚛️💨🌊 40.3% Below 4.0°C
E3ME 6.1: PR_CP_Price 33.7% ⚛️💨🌊 16.0%
E3ME 6.1: PR_Baseline 33.7% ⚛️💨🌊 16.0%
E3ME 6.1: PR_CP_Intensity 33.7% ⚛️💨🌊 16.1%
AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: Baseline 33.7% ⚛️🌊🌊 12.1% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.0: Core baseline 33.7% ⚛️💨🌊 33.8%
IMAGE 3.2: SSP5-baseline 33.5% ⚛️💨🌊 34.4% Above 4.0°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_full 33.5% ⚛️⚛️🌊 21.1% Likely below 2°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none 33.4% ⚛️⚛️🌊 21.2% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-Baseline 33.4% ⚛️🌊🌊 24.3% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_max_GDP 33.3% ⚛️💨🌊 18.7% Below 4.0°C
EPPA 6: 1.5CNow_Gradual 33.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 -10.6% Likely below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-Baseline 33.2% ⚛️💨🌊 53.4% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_EEEI_Baseline 33.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 5.4% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_REF_Sust 33.0% 💨☀️🌊 33.2% Below 4.0°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-45 33.0% ⚛️💨🌊 28.1% Below 2.5°C
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-Baseline 33.0% ⚛️💨🌊 28.4% Below 3.0°C
TIAM-WORLD 1.0: Core baseline 32.9% ⚛️💨🌊 8.3% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_lo_none 32.9% ⚛️💨🌊 17.8%
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 32.9% ⚛️💨🌊 17.6%
GCAM 5.3: R_BAU 32.7% ⚛️💨🌊 25.6% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_lo_full 32.6% ⚛️💨🌊 18.3%
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 32.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 12.0% Likely below 2°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_111 32.2% 💨💨🌊 -5.2%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_112 32.2% 💨💨🌊 -4.9%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP45_TranspBase 32.1% 💨💨🌊 5.8%
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 32.1% ⚛️🌊🌊 16.0%
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_INDCi 32.1% ⚛️💨🌊 19.0%
GCAM-PR 5.3: SH 32.0% ⚛️💨🌊 26.0%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_211 32.0% 💨💨🌊 -3.7%
GCAM-PR 5.3: R 31.9% ⚛️💨🌊 27.2%
GCAM 4.2: SSP5-Baseline 31.8% ⚛️💨🌊 62.3%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_121 31.8% 💨💨🌊 -2.4%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP34_TranspBase 31.7% 💨💨🌊 -10.0%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-60 31.6% ⚛️💨🌊 38.0% Below 3.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_112 31.5% 💨💨🌊 -14.2%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_121 31.5% 💨💨🌊 -12.2%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_111 31.5% 💨💨🌊 -14.7%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_211 31.5% 💨💨🌊 -13.4%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Baseline 31.4% ⚛️💨🌊 9.1% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_222 31.4% 💨💨🌊 -1.0%
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-45 31.3% ⚛️💨🌊 43.9% Below 2.5°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_222 31.3% 💨💨🌊 -10.5%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_111 31.3% 💨💨🌊 -2.4%
GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_high_os_high-cost-DAC 31.3% ⚛️💨🌊 22.3%
GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_high_os_low-cost-DAC 31.3% ⚛️💨🌊 22.3%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP45_TranspOpt 31.2% 💨💨🌊 14.2%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_112 31.2% 💨💨🌊 -2.1%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_NoPolicy 31.1% ⚛️💨🌊 15.2% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_211 31.1% 💨💨🌊 -1.8%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP34_TranspOpt 31.0% 💨💨🌊 -1.4%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_121 30.9% 💨💨🌊 -1.2%
AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy 30.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 20.9% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_LifeStyle_Baseline 30.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 16.4% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_222 30.8% 💨💨🌊 -0.5%
AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_NoPolicy 30.7% ⚛️🌊🌊 13.9% Below 4.0°C
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_base 30.7% ⚛️🌊🌊 -4.1% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_SupTech_Baseline 30.6% ⚛️🌊🌊 23.4% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-Base 30.6% 💨☀️🌊 52.1% Above 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_wind_Baseline 30.6% ⚛️🌊🌊 20.3% Below 4.0°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-Baseline 30.5% ⚛️💨🌊 57.7% Above 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_solar_Baseline 30.3% ⚛️🌊🌊 20.0% Below 4.0°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 30.3% ⚛️⚛️🌊 21.0% Below 3.0°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_full 30.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊 20.9% Below 3.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 30.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 12.4% Below 2°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_full 30.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 12.6% Below 2°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel 30.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊 20.9% Below 3.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-Action 30.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 13.5% Below 3.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_bio_Baseline 30.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.9% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_CCS_Baseline 30.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.9% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Ref_Baseline 30.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.9% Below 4.0°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkLR15_SSP5_P50 30.1% 💨☀️🌊 47.1% Above 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Bio_Baseline 30.0% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.9% Below 4.0°C
En-ROADS-96: Reference 30.0% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.7% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_nuclear_Baseline 30.0% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.9% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_NoPolicy_TranspBase 30.0% 💨💨🌊 20.0%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-26 30.0% ⚛️💨🌊 32.1% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red 29.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 29.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF 29.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 29.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Baseline 29.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF 29.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 3.0°C
REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkSR15_SSP5_P50 29.7% ⚛️☀️🌊 47.1% Above 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_TranspBase 29.7% ⚛️💨🌊 5.1%
AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 29.6% ⚛️🌊🌊 23.9% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-Baseline 29.6% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 29.6% ⚛️🌊🌊 12.1% Below 2°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_CH4-Only 29.4% ⚛️💨🌊 23.7%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_NoPolicy_TranspOpt 29.3% 💨💨🌊 26.8%
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_SLCF 29.3% ⚛️💨🌊 25.5%
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none 29.2% ⚛️⚛️🌊 20.8% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Baseline 29.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 20.8% Below 4.0°C
EPPA 6: 2CNow_OptTax 29.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 -5.6% Below 2.5°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF 29.1% ⚛️🌊🌊 13.9% Below 3.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_Baseline_LowCarbonTransportPolicy 29.0% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.1% Below 4.0°C
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_full 28.9% ⚛️⚛️🌊 20.9% Below 2.5°C
AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_Baseline_NoTransportPolicy 28.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 22.8% Below 4.0°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-Baseline 28.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 10.7% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_112 28.8% 💨💨🌊 -29.0%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_111 28.8% 💨💨🌊 -29.5%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_211 28.8% 💨💨🌊 -28.2%
GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Baseline 28.7% ⚛️💨🌊 28.2%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_121 28.7% 💨💨🌊 -27.5%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_TranspBase 28.7% ⚛️💨🌊 -7.6%
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-60 28.7% ⚛️💨🌊 48.9% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_TranspOpt 28.7% ⚛️💨🌊 10.0%
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_hi_none 28.6% ⚛️🌊🌊 14.3% Below 2.5°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_222 28.6% 💨💨🌊 -25.9%
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 28.3% ⚛️💨🌊 25.4%
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy 28.2% ⚛️💨🌊 29.9% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 28.2% ⚛️💨🌊 25.6%
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_Baseline 28.2% ⚛️💨🌊 25.6%
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF 28.2% ⚛️💨🌊 25.6%
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF 28.2% ⚛️💨🌊 25.6%
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 28.2% ⚛️💨🌊 25.6%
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_hi_full 28.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 14.3% Below 2°C
WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-Baseline 28.1% ⚛️💨🌊 70.7% Below 4.0°C
GCAM 4.2: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 28.1% ⚛️💨🌊 27.7%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_TranspOpt 28.0% ⚛️💨🌊 -2.2%
EPPA 6: 2CNow_Gradual 27.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 0.4% Below 2.5°C
GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_NoPolicy 27.8% ⚛️💨🌊 31.2%
MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_base 27.7% ⚛️🌊🌊 11.8%
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_TranspBase 27.5% ⚛️💨🌊 19.8%
GCAM 4.2: SSP3-Baseline 27.3% ⚛️💨🌊 27.9% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_lo_full 27.1% ⚛️🌊🌊 14.6% Below 2.5°C
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_lo_none 27.1% ⚛️🌊🌊 14.6% Below 3.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_TranspOpt 27.1% ⚛️💨🌊 21.7%
IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-Baseline 27.1% ⚛️💨🌊 52.7% Above 4.0°C
EPPA 6: Paris2C_Gradual 26.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 7.3% Below 2.5°C
EPPA 6: Paris2C_OptTax 26.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 7.3% Below 2.5°C
EPPA 6: ParisFlat 26.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 7.3% Below 3.0°C
EPPA 6: ParisForever 26.9% ⚛️🌊🌊 7.3% Below 4.0°C
EPPA 6: Paris1.5C_OptTax 26.7% ⚛️🌊🌊 8.0% Likely below 2°C
AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-Baseline 26.6% ⚛️🌊🌊 28.4% Above 4.0°C
BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_full 26.5% ⚛️🌊🌋 -2.2%
BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_none 26.3% ⚛️🌊🌋 -1.7%
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi 26.2% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.4%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-34 26.0% ⚛️💨🌊 38.4% Below 2.5°C
IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechLow 25.8% 💨💨🌊 8.6%
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red 25.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.8% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU 25.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.8% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Baseline 25.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.8% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_CH4-Only 25.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.8% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy 25.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.8% Below 3.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_SLCF 25.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.9% Below 3.0°C
DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_BCOC-EndU 25.8% ⚛️🌊🌊 19.9% Below 4.0°C
EPPA 6: Ref 25.7% ⚛️🌊🌿 12.3% Below 4.0°C
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-45 25.6% ⚛️💨🌊 39.3% Below 2.5°C
TIAM-ECN MDG 1.1: REF 24.9% ⚛️🌊🌿 9.4%
IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow 24.8% 💨💨🌊 19.7%
GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Baseline 24.5% ⚛️⚛️🌊 23.4% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow 24.3% 💨🌊 15.9%
MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-Baseline 24.2% ⚛️🌊 37.9% Above 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow 24.2% 💨🌊 -6.7%
TIAM-ECN ETH 1.1: baseline 24.0% ⚛️🌊 9.8%
DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Baseline 23.7% ⚛️🌊 25.5% Below 4.0°C
DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy 23.7% ⚛️🌊 20.7%
TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: REF 23.7% ⚛️🌊 9.8%
TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: REF 23.6% ⚛️🌊 9.8%
IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh 23.6% 💨🌊 30.5%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow 23.5% 💨🌊 -7.9%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-60 22.9% ⚛️🌊 43.7% Below 3.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechLow 22.9% 💨🌊 -18.2%
TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_BASE_CCC2020 22.8% ⚛️☀️ 17.4% Below 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh 22.8% 💨🌊 -6.9%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow 22.5% 💨🌊 -17.7%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow 21.8% 💨🌊 -19.4%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh 21.7% 💨🌊 -18.1%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh 21.1% 💨🌊 -26.0%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechLow 21.0% 💨🌊 -27.1%
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh 20.4% 💨🌊 -26.1%
REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-Baseline 20.2% ⚛️🌊 45.0% Above 4.0°C
IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow 20.2% 💨🌊 -27.5%
BET EMF33: EMF33_Baseline 16.2% ⚛️🌊 5.1%
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: PCSH 10.8% ⚛️ -1.8%
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: SH 10.2% ⚛️ 6.3%
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CSH 10.1% ⚛️ -1.7%
TIAM-Grantham 3.2: R 10.0% ⚛️ 7.4%
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