This is a list of scenarios used in the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We have extracted the electricity data used in each scenario. The full data set can be downloaded from IIASA. Electricity growth is calculated by comparing total global electricity generation in the scenario in the given year to the latest actual total global electricity amount (currently using data for the year 2024).
| Scenario | 低碳电力 | Electricity Growth | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400 | 99.6% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 26.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400_lowBECCS | 99.0% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 37.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-19 | 98.0% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 3.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-19 | 97.1% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 8.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_500 | 96.3% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | 3.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_450 | 95.6% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: CO_GPP | 95.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -25.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: CO_Bridge | 95.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -25.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_limbio | 93.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊🌿 | -24.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_1_75D-66 | 93.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 97.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_500 | 92.9% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR1p | 92.4% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_2D-66 | 92.4% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊 | 88.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR2p | 91.4% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-26 | 91.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_400 | 90.9% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 28.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_early | 90.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.2% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600 | 90.0% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -9.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 | 89.8% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-26 | 89.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 16.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR3p | 89.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR1p | 88.7% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr2p | 88.0% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -20.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR4p | 87.5% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr3p | 87.3% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -21.6% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_NoPolicyNoCOVID_550 | 87.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr4p | 86.3% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -22.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| GENeSYS-MOD 1.0: 1 | 86.3% | ⚛️☀️☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -4.6% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_500 | 86.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.8% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_COV | 86.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -20.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr2p | 85.9% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -19.4% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrno_dr5p | 85.7% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -22.6% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600 | 85.5% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-26 | 85.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 21.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 85.3% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊🌿 | -14.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_450 | 84.7% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -15.2% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr3p | 84.7% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -20.8% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_500 | 84.6% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_ HighRE_Budg900 | 84.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 27.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_Restore_550 | 84.3% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 12.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_550 | 84.3% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_200f | 84.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_500 | 84.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -15.5% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 | 83.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 1.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MERGE-ETL 6.0: DAC15_50 | 83.7% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 37.2% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_600 | 83.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -16.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr4p | 83.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -21.4% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_400f | 83.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -16.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C | 83.7% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 0.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_Sust | 83.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 12.2% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_450f | 83.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -15.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SmartUse_550 | 83.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 83.0% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊🌿 | -17.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_500 | 82.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊🌿 | -11.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_700 | 82.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -15.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrno_dr5p | 82.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -21.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_500f | 82.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -15.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_limbio | 82.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿🌿 | 8.9% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-1p5C-minCDR | 82.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_regul | 82.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.8% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-34 | 82.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 16.8% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr2p | 82.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -17.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR2p | 82.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_700 | 82.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨🌊🌊🌊 | -15.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-1.5-CDR8 | 81.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| McKinsey 1.0: 1.5C A | 81.9% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 | 37.8% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600 | 81.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| McKinsey 1.0: 1.5C B | 81.6% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 | 35.6% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Divergent Net Zero Policies | 81.4% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 3.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_600f | 81.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -14.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_550 | 81.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_200f | 81.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR1p | 80.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_early | 80.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.9% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600 | 80.7% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP1-PkBudg900 | 80.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr3p | 80.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -18.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_COV | 80.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 0.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_Def | 80.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_700f | 80.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -13.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_300f | 79.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_2Deg2020 | 79.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -12.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP2-PkBudg900 | 79.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600_COV | 79.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 - IPD-95th | 79.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.2% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR1p | 79.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 - IPD-median | 79.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_red_eff | 79.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_none | 79.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600_COV | 79.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 6.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_def_Budg900 | 78.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-1.5-CDR12 | 78.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_600 | 78.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel | 78.7% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -8.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_400f | 78.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr4p | 78.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -19.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_ HighRE_Budg1100 | 78.3% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 27.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_800f | 78.3% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -12.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 78.2% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -16.5% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_wind_1p5Degree | 78.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 28.4% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_SupTech_1p5Degree | 77.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 31.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-34 | 77.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 16.8% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 | 77.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 10.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| McKinsey 1.0: 1.5C C | 77.6% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 | 37.9% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_solar_1p5Degree | 77.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 25.9% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_300f | 77.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_500f | 77.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP1-1p5C-minCDR | 77.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 10.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_bio_1p5Degree | 77.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 25.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Ref_1p5Degree | 77.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.8% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 | 77.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -6.9% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_nuclear_1p5Degree | 77.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 26.6% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_700 | 77.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 76.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -10.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_2Deg2020 | 76.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌋 | -8.7% | |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_900f | 76.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -10.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Bio_1p5Degree | 76.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_EEEI_1p5Degree | 76.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 12.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: NewPl_1p5 | 76.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_CCS_1p5Degree | 76.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_LifeStyle_1p5Degree | 76.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR3p | 76.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 12.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_combined_1p5Degree | 76.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 12.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Divergent Net Zero Policies | 76.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 12.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700 | 75.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_CO2-Only | 75.8% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600f | 75.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_1p5C_lifesty | 75.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.5% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 | 75.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_GDPgrowth_1p5 | 75.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 12.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 75.3% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C | 75.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 7.1% | Below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_full | 75.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -6.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Divergent Net Zero Policies | 75.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 32.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800 | 75.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌋🌿 | 4.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 75.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -9.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 75.0% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.0% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_RE_LB | 75.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 4.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700_COV | 74.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -3.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_400f | 74.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 10.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_Conv | 74.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 74.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600_DR10p | 74.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 10.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrno_dr5p | 74.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -17.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs | 74.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 6.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_700f | 74.1% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV | 74.0% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-PkBudg900 | 73.8% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR2p | 73.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_Linear_1p5 | 73.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SDP-PkBudg1000 | 73.8% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 27.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: Eff_1p5 | 73.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_ HighRE_Budg1300 | 73.4% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 28.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_400f | 73.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.1% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-PkBudg900 | 73.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_800 | 73.4% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 73.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_H2Push | 73.3% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400f_lowBECCS | 73.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊🌊🌊 | -13.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 73.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -8.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR2p | 73.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 10.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_700 | 72.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 1.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_D_LB | 72.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 0.4% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900 | 72.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 4.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 | 72.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -0.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_800f | 72.5% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 72.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -7.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_450f | 72.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-19 | 72.3% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.9% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_CO2-Only | 72.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.0% | Below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_800 | 72.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-19 | 72.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.5% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_Conv-LowD | 72.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_30_n8 | 71.9% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 105.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 | 71.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 7.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 71.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 12.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-1.5-CDR20 | 71.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 71.5% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -0.9% | |
| REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-2.0-CDR8 | 71.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR4p | 71.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 8.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-34 | 71.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 | 12.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| WEM 2021: NZE | 71.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.9% | |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_HotellingConst_1p5 | 71.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_500f | 71.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-Budg600-EG | 71.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 2.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_300f | 71.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 3.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV | 71.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 4.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_ElecPush | 70.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_regul | 70.9% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-windH | 70.8% | 💨💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_eff | 70.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_Def | 70.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr2p | 70.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -5.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel | 70.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 4.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP1-1p5C-fullCDR | 70.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_Sust | 70.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.8% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-1p5C-fullCDR | 70.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_none | 70.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -2.6% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-PkBudg900 | 70.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 30.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_opt_1p5 | 70.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs | 70.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -2.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800_COV | 70.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -4.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_none | 70.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -5.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800 | 70.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 7.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-34 | 70.1% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊 | 20.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: NewPl_min80 | 70.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_900f | 69.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f | 69.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 5.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 69.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -5.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_eff | 69.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR3p | 69.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 7.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_900 | 69.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800 | 69.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 | -16.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR3p | 69.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 8.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_600f | 69.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 8.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 69.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 5.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 69.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -5.0% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_ElecPush-LowD | 69.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 | 69.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_500f | 69.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_1p5C | 69.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_full | 69.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_def_Budg1100 | 69.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_1.5C_full | 69.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 8.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 | 69.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | |
| REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-Budg600 | 69.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 69.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 3.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP1-DACCS-1p9-3pctHR | 68.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 48.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_400f | 68.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 4.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-spvH | 68.7% | 💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C | 68.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV | 68.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 4.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f | 68.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 5.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f | 68.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 7.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400_recGenTaxation | 68.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -5.4% | |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400_recSocialSecurity | 68.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -5.0% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV | 68.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -6.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 67.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 11.5% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-19 | 67.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.2: NGFS1_Immediate 2C with CDR (Orderly, Rep) | 67.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 37.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_none | 67.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 11.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_800f | 67.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 7.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-nucH | 67.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr2p | 67.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -3.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 67.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 67.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-oilH | 67.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Net-Zero 2050 | 67.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 17.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 67.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.6% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Below 2°C - IPD-95th | 67.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkLR15_SSP1_P50 | 66.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_Budg1100_ConvSyn | 66.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️☀️🌊 | 47.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_LIRE_LB | 66.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -0.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CBA_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 | 66.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 | 66.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-2.0-CDR12 | 66.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: Eff_min80 | 66.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-RenElec | 66.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -15.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP1-noDACCS-1p9-3pctHR | 66.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 47.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-34 | 66.5% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨☀️🌊 | 29.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 66.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 7.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR4p | 66.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 6.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA1_19I_LIRE_LB | 66.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -0.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_800 | 66.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 6.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA1_19I_RE_LB | 66.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 1.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-PkBudg1100 | 66.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 1.5C | 66.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 9.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900 | 66.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 6.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1600 | 66.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -1.3% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-PkBudg1100 | 66.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 65.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700f_COV | 65.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -6.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Below 2°C - IPD-median | 65.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 65.8% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 | -16.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MERGE-ETL 6.0: DAC2_66 | 65.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 52.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-coalH | 65.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_15D_NoTransportPolicy | 65.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 65.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-gasH | 65.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1600f | 65.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -1.0% | Below 2°C |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 | 65.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 10.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_700f | 65.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900_COV | 65.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000_recSocialSecurity | 65.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -3.7% | |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000_recGenTaxation | 65.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -3.7% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs | 65.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -6.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 65.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 65.5% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 0.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_500f | 65.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 7.1% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-19 | 65.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-elh2H | 65.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 65.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 16.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_30_n0 | 65.1% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 88.5% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-2C-minCDR | 65.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-ccsH | 65.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 65.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND 2.1: TechCost-SSP2-B1100-bioH | 65.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 64.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 64.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 13.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-45 | 64.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 | 10.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: NewPl_Weak | 64.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV | 64.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 1.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 64.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌊 | -6.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_2C_lifesty | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_700f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-19 | 64.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: Incumb_1p5 | 64.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr3p | 64.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -4.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C | 64.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 7.2% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-2.0-CDR20 | 64.1% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 64.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_eff | 64.1% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_2Deg2020 | 64.1% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: WB2C | 64.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C | 63.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 7.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR4p | 63.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Below 2°C | 63.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV | 63.5% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f | 63.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_15D_LowCarbonTransportPolicy | 63.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 20.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV | 63.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_300f | 63.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 36.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_700 | 63.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 36.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_600 | 63.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 36.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Below 2°C | 63.1% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C | 63.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 24.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C | 63.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 24.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C | 63.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 24.6% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_INDC | 63.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 24.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_35_n8 | 63.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 65.1% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_RE | 63.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 12.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB400 | 62.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WEM 2020: SDS | 62.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.0% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_WB2C_full | 62.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_400f | 62.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 36.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 62.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 62.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 6.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1800 | 62.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.9% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_1800f | 62.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.9% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 62.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 8.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP4-noDACCS-1p9-3pctHR | 62.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 46.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr3p | 62.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -3.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 62.5% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f_COV | 62.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 62.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 62.4% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 62.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr2p | 62.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -0.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_800 | 62.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 35.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB450 | 62.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_def_Budg1300 | 62.1% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA1_19I_D_LB | 62.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -3.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C | 62.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-PkBudg1100 | 62.0% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 33.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_500f | 61.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 34.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_900 | 61.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV | 61.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 0.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: CO_BAU | 61.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊🌊 | 29.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_600f | 61.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_1300Gt_no-transfer_def | 61.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 30.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-PkBudg1300 | 61.8% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 61.7% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 23.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-TOT | 61.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -19.8% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_GDPgrowth_2C | 61.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB600 | 61.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB550 | 61.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900 | 61.5% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 | -16.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_CB500 | 61.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: Incumb_min80 | 61.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 61.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 | -17.1% | Below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_full | 61.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f | 61.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f_COV | 61.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 61.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.8% | Below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 61.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.8% | Below 2°C |
| IEA Energy Technology Perspectives Model 2020: B2DS | 61.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 3.9% | |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 61.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 4.6% | |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-PkBudg1300 | 60.9% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_400f | 60.8% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 | -15.3% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1800 | 60.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2020_1800f | 60.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 60.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 | -19.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: 2DC | 60.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | -12.5% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_600f | 60.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 33.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_900 | 60.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 33.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2000 | 60.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2000f | 60.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: Eff_Weak | 60.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN ETH 1.1: RCP2.6 | 60.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | -12.5% | |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 60.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 5.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr4p | 60.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -4.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 60.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_35_n0 | 60.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 50.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_none | 60.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 60.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 10.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_CO2-Only | 60.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 4.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 60.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 4.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_NoPolicyNoCOVID_1000 | 60.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp | 60.2% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp | 60.2% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp | 60.2% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp | 60.2% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp | 60.0% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp | 60.0% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600_COV_NDCp | 60.0% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp | 60.0% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp | 60.0% | 💨💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_none | 60.0% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.2% | |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 59.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_Bridge | 59.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌋 | 0.4% | |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_GPP | 59.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌋 | 0.4% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV | 59.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_GPP | 59.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 59.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_Bridge | 59.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 | 59.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 | -15.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-to-faster | 59.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 38.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-Action | 59.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 38.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 | 59.1% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 15.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_2D_NoTransportPolicy | 59.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV | 59.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 4.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 59.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 59.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 24.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 450ppmRCP | 59.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_opt_2C | 59.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs | 59.0% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.5% | |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_GPP | 58.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr3p | 58.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -1.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_700f | 58.9% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 31.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_40_n8 | 58.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 45.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp | 58.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp | 58.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp | 58.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp | 58.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_1000 | 58.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 58.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_1p5C_AdvTrans_PartialDelay2020 | 58.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP4-26 | 58.7% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 39.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF | 58.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 38.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC | 58.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 38.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF | 58.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 38.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP2-NDC | 58.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_1300Gt_hybrid_def | 58.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 27.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 30.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600_COV | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100_COV | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2000 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_900 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_800 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_700 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2000f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2100 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_900f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2500 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_2500f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_700f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_3000f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_3000 | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_600f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_500f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_400f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_INDCi2030_300f | 58.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_500f | 58.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -14.1% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_wind_2Degree | 58.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp | 58.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp | 58.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp | 58.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp | 58.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_700f | 58.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 11.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_none | 58.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_Linear_2C | 58.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr4p | 58.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -2.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_Restore_1000 | 58.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -3.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 58.3% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 0.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_LIRE | 58.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Below 2°C | 58.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 17.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Net-zero_noLandUse_CDRlim | 58.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-2C-fullCDR | 58.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_Bridge | 58.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND_EU 2.0: Incumb_Weak | 58.1% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 58.1% | ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 | 13.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_1p5C_AdvNCO2_PartialDelay2020 | 58.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_SupTech_2Degree | 58.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 11.6% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-45 | 58.0% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 | 30.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 58.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 6.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-19 | 58.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -2.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 57.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.6% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 57.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV | 57.9% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 5.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 57.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_WB2C_full | 57.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_full | 57.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 57.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 8.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 57.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 8.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 57.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 8.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_1300Gt_uniform-pricing_def | 57.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 26.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF | 57.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC | 57.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF | 57.8% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 57.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C | 57.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -13.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SmartUse_1000 | 57.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -0.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CBA_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 | 57.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 50% abatement (FF&I) | 57.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -5.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_solar_2Degree | 57.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_600f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -2.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkSR15_SSP1_P50 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 12.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP1-highcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 43.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_500f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_600f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_700f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_900 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_800 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1600f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_1800 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2000 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_2500 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000f | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_INDCi2100 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 57.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 | -14.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-PkBudg1300 | 57.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 35.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP1-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 57.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 43.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkLR15_SSP5_P50 | 57.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 26.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 57.4% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊🌊 | -14.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 57.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP1-NDC | 57.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.5% | Below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100_WP6 | 57.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 8.0% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_800f | 57.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 29.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_1000 | 57.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -4.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 57.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-26 | 57.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_bio_2Degree | 57.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.6% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP1-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 57.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 43.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_nuclear_2Degree | 57.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_CO2-Only | 57.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.9% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 50% abatement (GHG) | 57.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -5.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Ref_2Degree | 57.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.4% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp | 57.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp | 57.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp | 57.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-45 | 57.0% | ⚛️💨💨💨☀️🌊 | 39.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-45 | 57.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 20.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_AdvNCO2_1p5C | 56.9% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | -9.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1600 | 56.9% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.2% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1600f | 56.9% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.2% | Below 2°C |
| PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_2Deg2020 | 56.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 12.0% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 56.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_1_5D-50_CCC2020 | 56.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌿 | 41.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 56.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 5.3% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Bio_2Degree | 56.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.3% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_2D_LowCarbonTransportPolicy | 56.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 11.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel | 56.5% | ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 | 11.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb400_cdrall_dr5p | 56.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -1.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_HotellingConst_2C | 56.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CEA_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 | 56.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_EEEI_2Degree | 56.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -5.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_CEA_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 | 56.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 17.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_netzero | 56.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_netzero | 56.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_netzero | 56.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_netzero | 56.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 19.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200_COV | 56.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_nobeccs | 56.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_combined_2Degree | 56.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -2.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_full | 56.3% | ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 | 11.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 | 56.3% | ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌿🌿 | 11.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 56.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 7.0% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_CCS_2Degree | 56.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.6% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-NDC | 56.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 450 concentration | 56.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -5.3% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 56.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_low_os_noDAC | 56.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 48.9% | |
| GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_low_os_high-cost-DAC | 56.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 48.9% | |
| GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_low_os_low-cost-DAC | 56.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 48.9% | |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_2Deg2020 | 55.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 11.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_2Deg2030 | 55.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -5.2% | |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_NDCplus | 55.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | -5.2% | |
| COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 55.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 | -18.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP1-lowcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 55.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️🌊 | 43.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_120 | 55.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 55.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_LifeStyle_2Degree | 55.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV | 55.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 6.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-Action | 55.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Slower-to-faster | 55.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp | 55.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600_NDCp | 55.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp | 55.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp | 55.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.7% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp | 55.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-NDC | 55.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.8% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP1 | 55.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 26.2% | |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_40_n0 | 55.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 37.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 55.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.6% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-Def | 55.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 | -19.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1800f | 55.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_900f | 55.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 27.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_2Deg2020 | 55.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 0.8% | |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_Bridge | 55.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 16.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_GPP | 55.4% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 16.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb600_cdrall_dr5p | 55.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -0.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr4p | 55.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 0.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 55.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌿 | 7.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.0: High CO2 price | 55.2% | ⚛️⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 32.1% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_1800 | 55.2% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_COV | 55.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -19.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 55.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_mc_50 | 55.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 12.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: High CO2 price | 55.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.5% | |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_800f | 55.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 12.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 55.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊🌿 | 12.7% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP4-DACCS-1p9-3pctHR | 55.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 40.3% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 20% abatement (FF&I) | 55.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_45_n8 | 55.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 36.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Net-zero | 55.0% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 55.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 10.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_full | 54.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 10.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2500 | 54.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_2500f | 54.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh | 54.9% | ⚛️💨💨💨💨🌊 | 9.9% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 54.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -0.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_LTC_brkSR15_SSP5_P50 | 54.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 28.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP4-highcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 54.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 39.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_400 | 54.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊🌊 | 27.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 54.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 26.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP4-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 54.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 39.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Net-zero_noNuc_lowVRE | 54.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 20.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_Bridge | 54.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.0% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_GPP | 54.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2000f | 54.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-Eff | 54.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 | -23.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C | 54.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 26.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C | 54.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 26.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C | 54.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 26.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_INDC | 54.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 26.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_2030_1.5C-2100 | 54.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 26.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 54.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 22.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: Policy baseline | 54.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 | -2.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2000 | 54.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-26 | 54.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_D | 54.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_2Deg2030 | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_NDC_2050convergence | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_NDCplus | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_2Deg2020 | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 26.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_NDC_Price | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 31.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_NDC_Intensity | 54.3% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 31.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 54.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -5.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh | 54.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | 24.3% | |
| TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_1_75D-66_CCC2020 | 54.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️ | 29.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_full | 54.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -5.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 54.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -5.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 54.1% | 💨💨💨💨🌊 | 17.0% | |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 450ppmCancunP | 54.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 4.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f_COV | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_800 | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1800 | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1800f | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100 | 54.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_100 | 54.0% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 13.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C | 54.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 18.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 53.9% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 5.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 53.9% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 20% abatement (GHG) | 53.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 53.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 20.9% | |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_NDC_Conv | 53.8% | 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 21.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f | 53.8% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -13.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: CO_2Deg2020 | 53.8% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -13.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp | 53.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -16.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600_COV_NDCp | 53.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -16.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp | 53.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -16.1% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp | 53.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -16.1% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp | 53.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -16.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-26 | 53.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 17.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 53.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV | 53.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -1.0% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV | 53.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -1.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV | 53.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -1.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_INDCi2100_COV | 53.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -1.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 53.6% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -1.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_50 | 53.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 1.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2500 | 53.5% | 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_2500f | 53.5% | 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| MUSE 1.0: PR_NDC_Price | 53.5% | ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌊 | -29.7% | |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP4-medcostDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 53.4% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 38.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_COV | 53.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -18.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| MUSE 1.0: PR_NDC_Intensity | 53.3% | ⚛️⚛️☀️🌊🌊 | -30.1% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_80 | 53.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 12.3% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-26 | 53.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -14.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_cb1000_cdrall_dr5p | 53.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 1.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_full | 52.9% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -1.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_none | 52.9% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -0.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 52.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000 | 52.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f | 52.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-AGInt | 52.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -19.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-LoNCO2 | 52.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -19.3% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh | 52.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | 1.4% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-LiStCh | 52.7% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -20.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: IMA15-Pop | 52.7% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -20.0% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-26 | 52.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 13.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-45 | 52.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 | 23.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_none | 52.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -1.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_goodpractice | 52.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_goodpractice | 52.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_goodpractice | 52.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_goodpractice | 52.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C | 52.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 8.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_900f | 52.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 13.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C | 52.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -0.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 52.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -3.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_NDC_PriceOnly | 52.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 28.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2100_COV | 52.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Med2C_full | 52.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 22.8% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 52.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -1.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-19 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊🌿 | -26.8% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-26 | 52.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 | 27.1% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_3000f | 52.4% | 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2100 | 52.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 7.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2020_3000 | 52.3% | 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP4 | 52.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 29.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-60 | 52.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | 45.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2100_COV | 52.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -1.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_700f | 52.1% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -12.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_50_n8 | 52.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 31.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 52.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP1-NPi | 52.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400_COV | 52.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -9.1% | Below 2°C |
| GEM-E3_V2021: EN_NPi2100 | 52.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_45_n0 | 52.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 31.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV | 51.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 6.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV | 51.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 6.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV | 51.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 6.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh | 51.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -5.6% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 51.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 51.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.4% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NDC_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 | 51.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 51.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.6% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 51.8% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -2.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_3000f | 51.7% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 20.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2020_3000 | 51.7% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 20.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 51.6% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -3.4% | |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PCSH | 51.6% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 34.8% | |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP2 | 51.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 30.3% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f_COV | 51.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -9.3% | Below 2°C |
| MUSE 1.0: PR_NDC_PriceOnly | 51.5% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌋 | -30.0% | |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP4-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 51.5% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 37.4% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NDC_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 | 51.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 51.3% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 12.1% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) | 51.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 17.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 51.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 2.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 51.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 11.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_800 | 51.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_CurPol | 51.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_lc_50 | 51.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 13.0% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 51.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -2.2% | Below 2°C |
| GMM-17: Symphony_1.5C | 51.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.5% | |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_CP_Price | 51.1% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 31.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_CP_Intensity | 51.1% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 31.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SDP-NPi | 51.1% | 💨☀️☀️🌊🌊 | 25.2% | Below 2°C |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 51.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 15.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 51.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | -0.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_limbio | 51.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -14.8% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_mc_50 | 51.0% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 13.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C | 51.0% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 3.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_CO2-Only | 51.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | -0.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 51.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | -0.2% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 51.0% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -12.2% | Below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh | 50.9% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -10.9% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 50.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MUSE 1.0: PR_CP_Intensity | 50.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -31.3% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_lc_50 | 50.7% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 12.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP5-19 | 50.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 59.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP2-19 | 50.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 33.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_2D-66_CCC2020 | 50.6% | ⚛️💨💨☀️☀️ | 23.0% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: SusDev_SSP2-NPi | 50.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NPi2100 | 50.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel | 50.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 0.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MUSE 1.0: PR_CP_Price | 50.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -31.1% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-26 | 50.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 11.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_mc_50 | 50.5% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 13.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_full | 50.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 1.0% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_1.5C-2100 | 50.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 23.9% | |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 50.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP5 | 50.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 56.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| IMAGE 3.0: CO_Bridge | 50.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: CO_GPP | 50.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.2% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NPi2100 | 50.4% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 21.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: 50% abatement (GHG) | 50.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 27.6% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 50.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -12.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_CO2-Only | 50.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -12.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 50.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -12.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow | 50.2% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -19.7% | |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-NPi | 50.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_LI | 50.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_1p5C_Delay2020 | 50.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -11.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 50.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 1.4% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 50.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 2.0% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_55_n8 | 49.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C_WP6 | 49.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 12.0% | |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_800f | 49.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -12.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_NPi | 49.7% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 6.9% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC | 49.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 8.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF | 49.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 8.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster | 49.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 8.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp | 49.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp | 49.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp | 49.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_Bridge | 49.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.4% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 49.6% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -3.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_Reference | 49.5% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 34.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C | 49.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1600f | 49.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.7% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1600 | 49.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.7% | Below 2°C |
| PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_GPP | 49.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.4% | |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_50_n0 | 49.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_800f | 49.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_CP_PriceOnly | 49.4% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 28.4% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: 50% abatement (FF&I) | 49.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 26.6% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 49.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 11.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 49.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 11.9% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_RE | 49.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.0% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Med2C_full | 49.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 2.8% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600 | 49.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 8.9% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-26 | 49.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -19.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_D | 49.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.2% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f_COV | 49.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -9.4% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 49.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 1.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-26 | 49.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 5.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600 | 49.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.1% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 49.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 48.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 14.7% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh | 48.9% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -15.7% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f | 48.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.9% | Below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 48.8% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -14.6% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600_COV | 48.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -9.3% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_Bridge | 48.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -4.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_GPP | 48.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -4.7% | |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkLR15_SSP1_P50 | 48.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 48.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 11.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000_DR10p | 48.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| GMM-17: Unfinished_Symphony | 48.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 13.0% | |
| PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_2Deg2030 | 48.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 12.0% | |
| PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_NDCplus | 48.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 12.0% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-34 | 48.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f | 48.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 8.9% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-NPi | 48.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: CAP | 48.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | -10.3% | |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkSR15_SSP1_P50 | 48.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 48.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -16.2% | |
| TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: CAP | 48.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | -9.9% | |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 48.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.2% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: NDC | 48.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | -10.4% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP1-Npi | 48.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.6% | |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_60_n8 | 48.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 25.0% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| WITCH 5.0: CO_BAU | 48.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1800 | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.6% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2020_1800f | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.6% | Below 2°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 | 48.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -8.2% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 48.1% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -3.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1000 | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_400 | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV | 48.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_nofuel | 48.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -8.0% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 48.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 13.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C | 47.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 23.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C | 47.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 23.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C | 47.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 23.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_INDC | 47.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 23.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_2030_1.5C-2100 | 47.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 23.4% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_full | 47.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -15.3% | |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP_SSP3 | 47.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 20.7% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| TIAM-ECN MDG 1.1: NDC | 47.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | -5.9% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C_WP6 | 47.8% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 13.2% | |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 47.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -15.2% | |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 47.7% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 14.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster | 47.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 11.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN MDG 1.1: NDC+ | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | -5.8% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-Action | 47.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 11.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_1.5C_full | 47.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -7.4% | |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_900 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_300f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_400f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_500f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_700f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1600f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1600 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_900f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1800 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1800f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2000 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2000f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2500f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_2500 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_3000f | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_3000 | 47.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-60 | 47.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 | 26.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 47.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 1.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_55_n0 | 47.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 24.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 47.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 1.3% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_19I_LIRE | 47.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 3.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_Npi | 47.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_lc_15 | 47.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.2% | Below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 47.5% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 550 concentration | 47.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | -5.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 2C | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.4% | Below 2°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF | 47.4% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 16.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC | 47.4% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 16.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF | 47.4% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 16.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF | 47.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 12.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1600f | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1600 | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1800f | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1800 | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2000f | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2000 | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_3000 | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_3000f | 47.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC | 47.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 12.6% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF | 47.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 12.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 | 47.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-Action | 47.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 7.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 47.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1000 | 47.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF | 47.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Current Policies - IPD-95th | 47.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 47.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -3.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 47.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_600f_DR10p | 47.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-to-faster | 47.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 15.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_Slower-Action | 47.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 15.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MUSE 1.0: PR_CP_PriceOnly | 47.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊🌋 | -31.4% | |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 47.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 47.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -3.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP1-19 | 47.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 12.5% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_INDCi_recSocialSecurity | 47.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.6% | |
| GEM-E3 V1: CD-LINKS_INDCi_recGenTaxation | 47.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 4.6% | |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_900f | 47.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -11.7% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1200 | 47.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Current Policies - IPD-median | 47.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH 5.0: EN_NoPolicy | 47.0% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 24.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechHigh | 47.0% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -23.6% | |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 | 47.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 47.0% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -2.8% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_CH4-Only | 47.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 29.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_65_n8 | 47.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 22.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-Transport 2.1: Transport_NPi_Conv | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 20.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100_COV_NDCp | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 11.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 17.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f_NDCp | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 17.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 17.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 17.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_2Deg2030 | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_NDC_2050convergence | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_NDCplus | 46.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.6% | Below 3.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-34 | 46.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.0% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_500 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_400f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_500f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: CO_2Deg2030 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: CO_NDCplus | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_INDCi2100 | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: CEMICS_NPI | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: CEMICS_SSP2-Npi | 46.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 19.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: TAX | 46.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | -10.5% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_lc_15 | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.1% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_2Deg2030 | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_full_NDC | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_2C_red_NDC | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_NDC | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_NDCplus | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_1p5C_full_NDC | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_WB2C_full | 46.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 13.6% | |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 46.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 17.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: TAX | 46.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌿 | -10.5% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-34 | 46.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -2.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_CurPol | 46.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 1.4% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 46.5% | ⚛️💨💨💨🌊 | -23.3% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_lc_15 | 46.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.0% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Delayed Transition | 46.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: NGFS2_Current Policies | 46.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 15.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-34 | 46.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 23.3% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-NDC | 46.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 38.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP4-34 | 46.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.9% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_full | 46.3% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | -2.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800 | 46.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800f_COV | 46.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800f | 46.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 2.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_60_n0 | 46.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 46.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.3% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 46.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_400 | 46.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.3% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| IMAGE 3.0: CO_2Deg2020 | 46.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -4.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_none | 46.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 11.7% | |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000 | 46.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 9.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 46.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_Reference | 46.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 25.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C_WP6 | 46.1% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 7.7% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 46.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800_COV | 46.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f | 46.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 10.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 45.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 13.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C_WP6 | 45.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_70_n8 | 45.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_COV | 45.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -16.9% | Below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C_WP6 | 45.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 5.5% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_INDC_WP6 | 45.9% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 11.7% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100_NDCp | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000_COV | 45.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 45.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿🌿 | 11.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f_COV | 45.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -9.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C | 45.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 8.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_RE | 45.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 11.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C | 45.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 9.2% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C | 45.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 9.2% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C | 45.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 9.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_2Deg2030 | 45.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100 | 45.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_NDC_2050convergence | 45.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_NDCplus | 45.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f | 45.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -11.4% | Below 2°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_1.5C_cost100 | 45.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | -0.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_2C_AdvNCO2_PartialDelay2020 | 45.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 0.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 45.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -11.2% | Below 2°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_full | 45.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -18.9% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-34 | 45.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 31.2% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 45.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 9.3% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_INDC | 45.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 11.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_RE | 45.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 5.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_65_n0 | 45.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 19.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-34 | 45.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 30.7% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-45 | 45.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 17.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 450ppmeINDC | 45.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_Reference_WP6 | 45.2% | ⚛️💨💨☀️🌊 | 9.1% | |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_75_n8 | 45.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 19.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: INDCSamePrice | 45.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 14.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_NDC_Intensity | 45.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.1% | |
| GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_NDC_Price | 45.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.1% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 45.1% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 18.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 45.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 30.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 45.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 11.5% | |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_1400 | 45.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_INDCi2100_COV | 44.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 12.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-60 | 44.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨💨🌊 | 33.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) | 44.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌿 | 20.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_none | 44.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿🌿 | 12.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-H13 2.1: START_Current_Policies | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 23.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_600f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_950_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100_COV | 44.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -8.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 44.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -19.1% | |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 44.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿🌿 | 11.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 44.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -18.1% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_19I_LI | 44.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | 0.9% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: CSH | 44.7% | ⚛️💨☀️☀️🌊 | 28.8% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C | 44.7% | ⚛️💨💨🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1200f | 44.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊🌊 | -10.7% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_80_n8 | 44.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 18.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_70_n0 | 44.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 18.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊🌊 | -17.0% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-34 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_700f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_900f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1600 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1800 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2500 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_2000 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000f | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_3000 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_INDCi2100 | 44.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-26 | 44.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 0.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2500 | 44.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 17.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2020_2500f | 44.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 17.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: PR_baseline | 44.3% | ⚛️☀️☀️🌊 | 28.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: 20% abatement (FF&I) | 44.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 22.6% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f | 44.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 2.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_INDC | 44.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 8.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 44.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | -18.9% | |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_2C_AdvTrans_PartialDelay2020 | 44.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 1.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 44.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 44.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_openres_mc_15 | 44.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.8% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-Grantham 1.0: Baseline | 43.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | -0.7% | |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_85_n8 | 43.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 17.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_RE | 43.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 12.5% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_75_n0 | 43.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 17.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000 | 43.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 2.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_LIRE | 43.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 3.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f | 43.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 10.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500 | 43.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 10.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_int_mc_15 | 43.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f_COV | 43.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_90_n8 | 43.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 16.4% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-34 | 43.3% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_GEI 1.0: SSP2_noint_mc_15 | 43.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.7% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-45 | 43.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 12.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500_COV | 43.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -10.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP1-Base | 43.2% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_80_n0 | 43.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 16.1% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.2: EN_NoPolicy | 43.2% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_RE | 43.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 5.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP2-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 43.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 32.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.0: 20% abatement (GHG) | 43.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 22.4% | |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP2-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 43.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 32.3% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_D | 43.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 7.4% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2100_COV | 43.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -14.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_95_n8 | 43.0% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 15.7% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NPi | 42.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 25.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.1-4.3: DeepElec_SSP2_Base | 42.9% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 24.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600f | 42.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800 | 42.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1400f | 42.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000f_COV | 42.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1600 | 42.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -10.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000_COV | 42.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_85_n0 | 42.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 15.3% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-34 | 42.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 4.0% | Below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-19 | 42.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 7.8% | Below 1.5°C with low OS |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000 | 42.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_99_n8 | 42.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 15.2% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-34 | 42.6% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | -3.7% | Below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2000f | 42.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF | 42.6% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | 18.6% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF | 42.6% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | 18.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_RE | 42.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 5.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_1800f | 42.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC | 42.4% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | 18.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_900f | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600f | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1600 | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800 | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2030_1800f | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_INDCi2100 | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP1-Baseline | 42.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 17.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_90_n0 | 42.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 14.7% | Below 2°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000f | 42.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 11.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000 | 42.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 11.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-60 | 42.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 13.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| COPPE-COFFEE 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi | 42.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -17.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: ADVANCE_NoPolicy_WP6 | 42.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | 4.5% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-to-faster | 42.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | 18.7% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP4-45 | 42.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 26.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Slower-Action | 42.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | 18.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 42.1% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 3.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_CP_Price | 42.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 23.5% | |
| GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_CP_Intensity | 42.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 23.5% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_CurPol | 42.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 7.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-45 | 42.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 26.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 42.0% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 3.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_95_n0 | 41.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 14.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-34 | 41.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 18.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 41.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿 | 11.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkLR15_SSP1_P50 | 41.8% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 14.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000 | 41.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 41.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -2.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_CurPol | 41.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 13.0% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-45 | 41.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 35.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 41.7% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿 | 11.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2100 | 41.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 41.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -2.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_NPi | 41.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_CurPol | 41.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200 | 41.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: R_MAC_99_n0 | 41.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 13.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 41.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 8.6% | |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400 | 41.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.6% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP5-DACCS-1p9-3pctHR | 41.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 54.9% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_WB2C_full | 41.5% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌿 | 11.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f | 41.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500 | 41.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -9.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP5-noDACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 41.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 54.9% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 5.3: SSP5-DACCS-2p6-3pctHR | 41.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 54.8% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_800f | 41.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1000f | 41.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1400f | 41.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.8% | Below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_1200f | 41.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.8% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000f | 41.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_INDCi2030_3000 | 41.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkSR15_SSP1_P50 | 41.4% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 13.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_Reference | 41.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 12.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: 2.5C | 41.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 1.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500f | 41.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 2.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_2Deg2030 | 41.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 0.8% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_NDCplus | 41.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 0.8% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_LIRE | 41.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 7.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| MUSE 1.0: PR_Baseline | 41.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | -32.9% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_LI | 41.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 0.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 41.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 8.9% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_2500 | 41.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 2.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_Reference | 41.0% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 8.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP2-Base | 41.0% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: CO_2Deg2030 | 41.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 12.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: EN_NPi2100 | 41.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| COFFEE 1.1: CO_CurPol | 41.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -7.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_LIRE | 41.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 5.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2100_COV | 41.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 10.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 41.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 11.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: CO_NDCplus | 41.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 12.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| GMM-17: Hard_Rock | 40.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 2.2% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_D | 40.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 10.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN 1.1: EN_NPi2100 | 40.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 11.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| GMM-17: Modern_Jazz | 40.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 13.4% | |
| GCAM 5.2: NGFS1_Current policies (Hot house world, Rep) | 40.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: 450 concentration | 40.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 20.1% | |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_Bridge_notax | 40.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 29.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy+SLCF | 40.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 9.0% | |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_GPP_notax | 40.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 29.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_LI | 40.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 9.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF33: EMF33_Baseline | 40.7% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | 19.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1000 | 40.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 4.6% | |
| GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Delayed Transition | 40.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 12.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| GCAM 5.3: NGFS2_Current Policies | 40.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 12.4% | Below 3.0°C |
| GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_CP_PriceOnly | 40.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.4% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 40.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 8.2% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_LI | 40.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 1.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C | 40.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C | 40.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C | 40.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_INDC | 40.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_1000f_DR10p | 40.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 1.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_26I_D | 40.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 3.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_LI | 40.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 1.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_3000f | 40.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 16.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2020_3000 | 40.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 16.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-34 | 40.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 4.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP4-Baseline | 40.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 29.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-45 | 40.1% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | -1.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_none | 39.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -0.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CO_BAU | 39.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -0.6% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-60 | 39.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | -1.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP1-26 | 39.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 12.8% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_ClimPolicy | 39.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 7.7% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-34 | 39.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -0.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_Reference | 39.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 29.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-NPi | 39.6% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 38.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkLR15_SSP2_P50 | 39.6% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000f | 39.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 2.9% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_LIRE | 39.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 16.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 39.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 18.8% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2020_3000 | 39.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 3.0% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMACLIM-NLU 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 39.5% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | -10.5% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Med2C_full | 39.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 8.0% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 39.5% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 6.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-45 | 39.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 19.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NPi | 39.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 21.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_26I_LIRE | 39.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 10.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_34I_D | 39.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 3.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 39.4% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 6.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1_SPA1_34I_LI | 39.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 10.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkLR15_SSP5_P50 | 39.3% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 34.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: Policy baseline | 39.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 20.0% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.0: CO_BAU | 39.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 7.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_CO2-Only | 39.2% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 7.5% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA2_45I_D | 39.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 3.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_WB2C | 39.1% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 12.8% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-45 | 39.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| En-ROADS-96: Ratchet-1.5-limCDR | 39.1% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NPi2100 | 39.0% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 19.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-26 | 39.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 7.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_NPi_brkSR15_SSP5_P50 | 39.0% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 34.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkSR15_SSP2_P50 | 39.0% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 18.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_CurPol | 38.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 23.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-45 | 38.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 11.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| EPPA 6: 1.5CNow_OptTax | 38.8% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | -23.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: CO_CurPol | 38.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 18.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NPi | 38.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 25.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-45 | 38.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 28.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 4.0: 550 concentration | 38.7% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 19.6% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-45 | 38.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 4.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: Low CO2 price | 38.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | -3.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_SLCF | 38.6% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 26.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Delayed Transition | 38.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -8.1% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: NGFS2_Current Policies | 38.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -8.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2100_COV | 38.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -8.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 38.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 19.4% | Below 1.5°C with high OS |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 38.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 19.4% | Below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 38.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 19.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP1-baseline | 38.5% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 15.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_CurPol | 38.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -0.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-45 | 38.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -0.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_SLCF | 38.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 5.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM-NLU 1.0: EMF33_Baseline | 38.3% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | -5.3% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_CH4-Only | 38.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 5.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-60 | 38.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 26.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP1-Baseline | 38.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 0.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-60 | 38.1% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 12.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES ADVANCE: ADVANCE_NoPolicy | 38.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 29.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NPi | 38.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-45 | 38.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 13.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF | 37.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: Low CO2 price | 37.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 19.7% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP4-baseline | 37.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 12.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP4-60 | 37.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 25.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NPi2100 | 37.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 37.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_Baseline | 37.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red | 37.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: CO_BAU | 37.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 18.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0: EN_NoPolicy | 37.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 18.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-H13 2.1: START_BAU | 37.6% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 22.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF | 37.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-EG | 37.6% | 💨☀️🌊🌊 | 13.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| PROMETHEUS 1.0: CO_BAU | 37.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 14.5% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_nobeccs | 37.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 0.3% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMACLIM-NLU 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 37.2% | ⚛️💨💨🌊 | -13.3% | |
| TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_BASE | 37.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 11.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES CD-LINKS: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy | 37.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 24.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_min_GDP | 37.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -16.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 1.7: ADVANCE_NoPolicy | 37.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 37.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 22.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_SLCF | 37.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌿 | 22.7% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2_SPA0_26I_D | 37.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 0.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 37.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_Baseline | 37.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red | 37.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF | 37.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF | 37.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 | 37.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 36.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| POLES EMF30: EMF30_CH4-Only | 36.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 21.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy | 36.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-60 | 36.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 44.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NPi | 36.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 17.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP1-34 | 36.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 14.5% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: PEP_NoPolicy | 36.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: CO_BAU | 36.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-Buildings 2.0: BEG-Base | 36.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 24.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: EMF33_Baseline | 36.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 32.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: ADVANCE_NoPolicy | 36.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 40.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-34 | 36.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 24.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| REMIND 1.7: CEMICS-Ref | 36.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_REF_Def | 36.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.4: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy | 36.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 26.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP4-Baseline | 36.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 26.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_CH4-Only | 36.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_SLCF | 36.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 36.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-45 | 36.4% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 12.9% | Below 2.5°C |
| En-ROADS-96: Ratchet-1.5-allCDR | 36.4% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 15.7% | Below 1.5°C with no OS |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 | 36.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 27.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP2-26 | 36.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 28.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP2-34 | 36.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 28.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP2-45 | 36.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 28.7% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP2-60 | 36.3% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 28.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-60 | 36.3% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 5.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_Baseline | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 4.2: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 42.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr3p | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 29.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_CH4-Only | 36.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 15.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2100_COV | 36.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 19.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP1-Baseline | 36.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 17.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES ENGAGE: EN_NPi2100 | 36.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 26.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr2p | 36.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 35.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 36.1% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 15.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr4p | 36.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 26.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-60 | 36.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 13.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_Reference | 36.0% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 5.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_SLCF | 35.9% | ⚛️⚛️🌊🌊 | 16.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: 650 concentration | 35.9% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 20.5% | |
| REMIND 1.6: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 35.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 35.8% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 7.6% | |
| WITCH 4.6: DISCRATE_Ref_dr5p | 35.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 24.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP1-45 | 35.8% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 15.8% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP2-baseline | 35.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 11.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush | 35.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -4.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| POLES GECO2019: CO_BAU | 35.7% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 26.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 35.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 5.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_min_GDP | 35.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -10.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_Restore | 35.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -4.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 35.6% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 8.2% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.2: EN_NPi2100 | 35.6% | ⚛️☀️🌊🌊 | 18.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_WB2C | 35.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 14.2% | |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Med2C | 35.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 14.2% | |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_Price1.5C | 35.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 14.2% | |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2030_1.5C-2100 | 35.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 14.2% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-60 | 35.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NDC2030i_1000 | 35.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 8.4% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.1: EN_NoPolicy | 35.4% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 3.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| GEMINI-E3 7.0: PR_Baseline | 35.3% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 25.3% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 35.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| E3ME 6.1: PR_NDC_Price | 35.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 1.2% | |
| E3ME 6.1: PR_NDC_Intensity | 35.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 1.2% | |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_2C_Delay2020 | 35.2% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -14.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 2.0-4.1: Diff_No-policy_baseline | 35.2% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 28.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.2: EMF33_Baseline | 35.1% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 17.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP1-Baseline | 35.1% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 20.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_limbio | 35.1% | ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | 6.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF | 34.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: 650 concentration | 34.9% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | -0.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF | 34.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 | 34.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 34.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red | 34.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF30_Baseline | 34.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP2-Baseline | 34.9% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 6.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP2-Baseline | 34.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 17.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: ADVANCE_NoPolicy | 34.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 17.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP4-Baseline | 34.8% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_CH4-Only | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_Baseline | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 | 34.7% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 34.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: EMF30_SLCF | 34.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 16.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP4-Baseline | 34.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 33.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP3-baseline | 34.6% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 12.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_NoPolicyNoCOVID | 34.6% | ⚛️💨☀️🌊 | 4.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_full | 34.5% | ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | 6.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_nofuel | 34.5% | ⚛️🌊🌊🌿 | 6.2% | Likely below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_2020_Med2C | 34.5% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 10.4% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy | 34.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | 17.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SmartUse | 34.5% | ⚛️💨🌊🌊 | -0.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP5-26 | 34.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 47.9% | |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP5-34 | 34.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 47.9% | |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP5-45 | 34.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 47.9% | |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP5-60 | 34.4% | ⚛️⚛️💨🌊 | 47.9% | |
| MERGE-ETL 6.0: BAU | 34.4% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 72.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 34.4% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | -12.5% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF | 34.4% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 8.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NPi | 34.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 21.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP1-Baseline | 34.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 17.6% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CO_BAU | 34.3% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 2.4% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_combined_Baseline | 34.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -3.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster+SLCF+HFC | 34.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 8.9% | Likely below 2°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-to-faster | 34.1% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 9.0% | Likely below 2°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_GreenPush_max_GDP | 34.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 3.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-34 | 34.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 16.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 34.0% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | -11.4% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance | 34.0% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 1.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-60 | 34.0% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP2-Baseline | 33.9% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 29.2% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP2-Baseline | 33.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 29.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| E3ME 6.1: PR_CP_Price | 33.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 6.8% | |
| E3ME 6.1: PR_Baseline | 33.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 6.8% | |
| E3ME 6.1: PR_CP_Intensity | 33.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 6.8% | |
| AIM/Hub-Global 2.0: Baseline | 33.7% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 3.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.0: Core baseline | 33.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 23.2% | |
| IMAGE 3.2: SSP5-baseline | 33.5% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 23.7% | Above 4.0°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 33.5% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 11.5% | Likely below 2°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 33.4% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 11.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP3-Baseline | 33.4% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 14.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM_1.2: COV_SelfReliance_max_GDP | 33.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 9.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| EPPA 6: 1.5CNow_Gradual | 33.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -17.7% | Likely below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP2-Baseline | 33.2% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 41.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_EEEI_Baseline | 33.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -3.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.7-3.0: SMP_REF_Sust | 33.0% | 💨☀️🌊 | 22.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-45 | 33.0% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 18.0% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP1-Baseline | 33.0% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 18.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| TIAM-WORLD 1.0: Core baseline | 32.9% | ⚛️💨🌊 | -0.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 32.9% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 8.4% | |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_INDC2030i_1600 | 32.9% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 8.3% | |
| GCAM 5.3: R_BAU | 32.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 32.6% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 8.9% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_WB2C_cost100 | 32.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 3.1% | Likely below 2°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_111 | 32.2% | 💨💨🌊 | -12.7% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_112 | 32.2% | 💨💨🌊 | -12.4% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP45_TranspBase | 32.1% | 💨💨🌊 | -2.6% | |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi2020_1600 | 32.1% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 6.8% | |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_INDCi | 32.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 9.5% | |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: SH | 32.0% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 16.0% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_211 | 32.0% | 💨💨🌊 | -11.3% | |
| GCAM-PR 5.3: R | 31.9% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 17.1% | |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP5-Baseline | 31.8% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 49.4% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_121 | 31.8% | 💨💨🌊 | -10.2% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP34_TranspBase | 31.7% | 💨💨🌊 | -17.2% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-60 | 31.6% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 27.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_112 | 31.5% | 💨💨🌊 | -21.0% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_121 | 31.5% | 💨💨🌊 | -19.2% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_111 | 31.5% | 💨💨🌊 | -21.5% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_211 | 31.5% | 💨💨🌊 | -20.2% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: EMF33_Baseline | 31.4% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 0.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_Transp_222 | 31.4% | 💨💨🌊 | -8.9% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-45 | 31.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 32.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_Transp_222 | 31.3% | 💨💨🌊 | -17.6% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_111 | 31.3% | 💨💨🌊 | -10.1% | |
| GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_high_os_high-cost-DAC | 31.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 12.6% | |
| GCAM5.2_NET: GCAM_1.5C_high_os_low-cost-DAC | 31.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 12.6% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP45_TranspOpt | 31.2% | 💨💨🌊 | 5.1% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_112 | 31.2% | 💨💨🌊 | -9.9% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: ADVANCE_NoPolicy | 31.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 6.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_211 | 31.1% | 💨💨🌊 | -9.6% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_RCP34_TranspOpt | 31.0% | 💨💨🌊 | -9.3% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_121 | 30.9% | 💨💨🌊 | -9.1% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy | 30.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 11.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_LifeStyle_Baseline | 30.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 7.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_Transp_222 | 30.8% | 💨💨🌊 | -8.4% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: ADVANCE_NoPolicy | 30.7% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 4.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Eff_base | 30.7% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -11.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_SupTech_Baseline | 30.6% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: R2p1_SSP5-Base | 30.6% | 💨☀️🌊 | 40.0% | Above 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_wind_Baseline | 30.6% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.8% | Below 4.0°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP5-Baseline | 30.5% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 45.2% | Above 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_solar_Baseline | 30.3% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.5% | Below 4.0°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 30.3% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 11.4% | Below 3.0°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_full | 30.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 11.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 30.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 3.5% | Below 2°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_full | 30.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 3.6% | Below 2°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Med2C_nofuel | 30.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 11.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-Action | 30.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 4.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_bio_Baseline | 30.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_CCS_Baseline | 30.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Ref_Baseline | 30.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkLR15_SSP5_P50 | 30.1% | 💨☀️🌊 | 35.4% | Above 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_Bio_Baseline | 30.0% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| En-ROADS-96: Reference | 30.0% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 12.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SFCM_SSP2_ST_nuclear_Baseline | 30.0% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_NoPolicy_TranspBase | 30.0% | 💨💨🌊 | 10.5% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-26 | 30.0% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 21.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red | 29.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 | 29.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF | 29.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 29.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_Baseline | 29.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF | 29.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 3.0°C |
| REMIND 2.1: LeastTotalCost_Base_brkSR15_SSP5_P50 | 29.7% | ⚛️☀️🌊 | 35.4% | Above 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_TranspBase | 29.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | -3.2% | |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 29.6% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 14.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP2-Baseline | 29.6% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Med2C_cost100 | 29.6% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 3.2% | Below 2°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_CH4-Only | 29.4% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 13.8% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP1_NoPolicy_TranspOpt | 29.3% | 💨💨🌊 | 16.8% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_SLCF | 29.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.5% | |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 29.2% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 11.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: EMF33_Baseline | 29.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 11.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| EPPA 6: 2CNow_OptTax | 29.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -13.1% | Below 2.5°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Slower-Action+SLCF | 29.1% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 4.8% | Below 3.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_Baseline_LowCarbonTransportPolicy | 29.0% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 12.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 28.9% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 11.3% | Below 2.5°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.1: TERL_Baseline_NoTransportPolicy | 28.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 13.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP3-Baseline | 28.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 1.9% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_112 | 28.8% | 💨💨🌊 | -34.6% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_111 | 28.8% | 💨💨🌊 | -35.1% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_211 | 28.8% | 💨💨🌊 | -33.9% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF33_Baseline | 28.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 18.0% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_121 | 28.7% | 💨💨🌊 | -33.3% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_TranspBase | 28.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | -14.9% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-60 | 28.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 37.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP45_TranspOpt | 28.7% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 1.3% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_hi_none | 28.6% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 5.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP26_Transp_222 | 28.6% | 💨💨🌊 | -31.8% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 28.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.5% | |
| MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy | 28.2% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 19.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 28.2% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.6% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_Baseline | 28.2% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.6% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-SLCF | 28.2% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.6% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF | 28.2% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.6% | |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_D_Frozen-CH4 | 28.2% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 15.6% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_hi_full | 28.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 5.2% | Below 2°C |
| WITCH-GLOBIOM 3.1: SSP3-Baseline | 28.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 57.1% | Below 4.0°C |
| GCAM 4.2: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 28.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 17.6% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_RCP34_TranspOpt | 28.0% | ⚛️💨🌊 | -10.0% | |
| EPPA 6: 2CNow_Gradual | 27.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -7.6% | Below 2.5°C |
| GCAM 4.2: ADVANCE_NoPolicy | 27.8% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 20.8% | |
| MESSAGE V.3: GEA_Mix_base | 27.7% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 2.9% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_TranspBase | 27.5% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 10.3% | |
| GCAM 4.2: SSP3-Baseline | 27.3% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 17.7% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 27.1% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 5.5% | Below 2.5°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 27.1% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 5.5% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: SSP3_NoPolicy_TranspOpt | 27.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 12.1% | |
| IMAGE 3.0.1: SSP5-Baseline | 27.1% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 40.6% | Above 4.0°C |
| EPPA 6: Paris2C_Gradual | 26.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -1.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| EPPA 6: Paris2C_OptTax | 26.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -1.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| EPPA 6: ParisFlat | 26.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -1.2% | Below 3.0°C |
| EPPA 6: ParisForever | 26.9% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -1.2% | Below 4.0°C |
| EPPA 6: Paris1.5C_OptTax | 26.7% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | -0.6% | Likely below 2°C |
| AIM/CGE 2.0: SSP5-Baseline | 26.6% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 18.2% | Above 4.0°C |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_full | 26.5% | ⚛️🌊🌋 | -10.0% | |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_tax_lo_none | 26.3% | ⚛️🌊🌋 | -9.6% | |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NPi | 26.2% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 9.9% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-34 | 26.0% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 27.4% | Below 2.5°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechLow | 25.8% | 💨💨🌊 | 0.0% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_BCOC-Red | 25.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_Frozen-EF-EndU | 25.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_Baseline | 25.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_CH4-Only | 25.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.3% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_D_CH4-ClimPolicy | 25.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_SLCF | 25.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Below 3.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14E1: EMF30_BCOC-EndU | 25.8% | ⚛️🌊🌊 | 10.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| EPPA 6: Ref | 25.7% | ⚛️🌊🌿 | 3.4% | Below 4.0°C |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-45 | 25.6% | ⚛️💨🌊 | 28.2% | Below 2.5°C |
| TIAM-ECN MDG 1.1: REF | 24.9% | ⚛️🌊🌿 | 0.7% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow | 24.8% | 💨💨🌊 | 10.2% | |
| GRAPE-15 1.0: EMF33_Baseline | 24.5% | ⚛️⚛️🌊 | 13.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow | 24.3% | 💨🌊 | 6.7% | |
| MESSAGE-GLOBIOM 1.0: SSP3-Baseline | 24.2% | ⚛️🌊 | 26.9% | Above 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow | 24.2% | 💨🌊 | -14.1% | |
| TIAM-ECN ETH 1.1: baseline | 24.0% | ⚛️🌊 | 1.1% | |
| DNE21+ V.14E2: EMF33_Baseline | 23.7% | ⚛️🌊 | 15.6% | Below 4.0°C |
| DNE21+ V.14C: CD-LINKS_NoPolicy | 23.7% | ⚛️🌊 | 11.1% | |
| TIAM-ECN AFR 1.1: REF | 23.7% | ⚛️🌊 | 1.1% | |
| TIAM-ECN KEN 1.1: REF | 23.6% | ⚛️🌊 | 1.1% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: base_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 23.6% | 💨🌊 | 20.1% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow | 23.5% | 💨🌊 | -15.2% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-60 | 22.9% | ⚛️🌊 | 32.3% | Below 3.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechLow | 22.9% | 💨🌊 | -24.7% | |
| TIAM-UCL 4.1.1: SSP2_BASE_CCC2020 | 22.8% | ⚛️☀️ | 8.0% | Below 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2025_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 22.8% | 💨🌊 | -14.3% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechLow | 22.5% | 💨🌊 | -24.2% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow | 21.8% | 💨🌊 | -25.8% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2020_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 21.7% | 💨🌊 | -24.6% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandHigh_FossilLow_TechHigh | 21.1% | 💨🌊 | -31.9% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilLow_TechLow | 21.0% | 💨🌊 | -32.9% | |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandHigh_FossilHigh_TechHigh | 20.4% | 💨🌊 | -31.9% | |
| REMIND-MAgPIE 1.5: SSP5-Baseline | 20.2% | ⚛️🌊 | 33.5% | Above 4.0°C |
| IMACLIM 1.1: peak2016_DemandLow_FossilHigh_TechLow | 20.2% | 💨🌊 | -33.2% | |
| BET EMF33: EMF33_Baseline | 16.2% | ⚛️🌊 | -3.2% | |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: PCSH | 10.8% | ⚛️ | -9.6% | |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: SH | 10.2% | ⚛️ | -2.1% | |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: CSH | 10.1% | ⚛️ | -9.5% | |
| TIAM-Grantham 3.2: R | 10.0% | ⚛️ | -1.2% | |